Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · 4
HungaryHOME · -
64 : 872022.09.07 · 종료
LithuaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.6%
VALUE EDGE+63.6%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
HungaryAnalysis MetricsLithuania
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-8.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.25
159.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.75
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation11.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hungary
L · 78-74L · 88-103L · 95-85L · 63-97W · 81-58
Lithuania
L · 73-77L · 92-85W · 76-77W · 74-94W · 84-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.09.07 | Hungary | 64 : 87 | Lithuania |