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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe · 4
MontenegroHOME · -
65 : 822022.09.06 · 종료
SpainAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.0%
VALUE EDGE+56.0%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEB
MontenegroAnalysis MetricsSpain
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-2.92 Point MarginHigher is better +2.83
161.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.67
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation5.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Montenegro
W · 81-91W · 76-70L · 72-68W · 82-75L · 71-73
Spain
L · 73-83W · 64-90W · 114-87W · 78-73W · 88-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.09.06Montenegro65 : 82Spain