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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe · 3
UkraineHOME · -
84 : 732022.09.06 · 종료
ItalyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEB
UkraineAnalysis MetricsItaly
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-3.67 Point MarginHigher is better +6.92
163.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.08
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
2.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation7.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukraine
W · 73-74W · 90-61W · 63-97W · 70-65W · 70-67
Italy
L · 85-81W · 83-62L · 87-78W · 92-84W · 66-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.09.06Ukraine84 : 73Italy