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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe · 3
SerbiaHOME · -
100 : 702022.09.06 · 종료
FinlandAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
SerbiaAnalysis MetricsFinland
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+16.58 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08
153.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.25
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Serbia
W · 68-81W · 100-76W · 88-81W · 66-92W · 75-66
Finland
W · 89-59W · 70-78W · 92-84L · 75-66L · 85-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.22Finland95 : 105Serbia
2024.02.24Serbia77 : 61Finland
2022.09.06Serbia100 : 70Finland
2020.12.01Serbia75 : 66Finland
2020.02.21Finland58 : 80Serbia