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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket Europe · 3
CroatiaHOME · -
73 : 702022.09.05 · 종료
EstoniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
CroatiaAnalysis MetricsEstonia
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+9.92 Point MarginHigher is better -2.75
173.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.42
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Croatia
W · 65-86L · 85-89W · 84-53W · 69-72L · 84-78
Estonia
L · 73-74L · 83-62L · 84-86L · 75-52L · 56-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.09.05Croatia73 : 70Estonia