Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · 3

BulgariaHOME · -
81 : 912022.09.04 · 종료
MontenegroAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.0%
VALUE EDGE+69.0%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEB
BulgariaAnalysis MetricsMontenegro
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+5.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.92
162.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.42
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bulgaria
L · 87-101L · 114-87W · 84-72W · 88-55L · 61-80
Montenegro
W · 76-70L · 72-68W · 82-75L · 71-73L · 74-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.11.26 | Bulgaria | 86 : 90 | Montenegro |
| 2024.11.23 | Montenegro | 85 : 62 | Bulgaria |
| 2022.09.04 | Bulgaria | 81 : 91 | Montenegro |