Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket
Europe · 2
GreeceHOME · -
85 : 812022.09.04 · 종료
ItalyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.0%
VALUE EDGE+57.0%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
GreeceAnalysis MetricsItaly
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+6.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
159.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.33
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
1.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Greece
W · 85-89L · 69-84L · 66-77W · 65-70W · 73-63
Italy
W · 83-62L · 87-78W · 92-84W · 66-70W · 81-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.09.04 | Greece | 85 : 81 | Italy |
| 2013.08.30 | Greece | 79 : 65 | Italy |