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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · Semi-finals
PiacenzaHOME · -
2 : 32024.04.23 · 종료
Lube CivitanovaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 56.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.0%
VALUE EDGE+53.0%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
PiacenzaAnalysis MetricsLube Civitanova
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.58 Set DifferentialHigher is better +0.75
1.67 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 1.42
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Piacenza
L · 1-3W · 0-3W · 3-1W · 3-2W · 1-3
Lube Civitanova
W · 1-3W · 3-0L · 0-3L · 3-0W · 3-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.12.27Lube Civitanova3 : 1Piacenza
2025.11.17Piacenza3 : 0Lube Civitanova
2024.04.23Piacenza2 : 3Lube Civitanova
2024.04.18Piacenza1 : 3Lube Civitanova
2024.02.26Lube Civitanova0 : 3Piacenza
2023.12.18Piacenza2 : 3Lube Civitanova