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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · Final
MonzaHOME · -
3 : 22024.04.21 · 종료
PerugiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 70.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADES
MonzaAnalysis MetricsPerugia
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%
-1.25 Set DifferentialHigher is better +2.50
2.42 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 0.50
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
2.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
32.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
67.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Monza
L · 3-1W · 2-3W · 3-1W · 2-3L · 1-3
Perugia
W · 3-1W · 1-3W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 3-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.01Monza0 : 3Perugia
2026.03.19Perugia3 : 0Monza
2026.03.16Monza2 : 3Perugia
2026.03.08Perugia3 : 1Monza
2025.11.27Perugia3 : 1Monza
2025.10.22Monza1 : 3Perugia
2025.03.21Perugia3 : 1Monza
2025.03.12Monza1 : 3Perugia
2024.04.29Monza1 : 3Perugia
2024.04.26Perugia3 : 1Monza