Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SuperLega
Italy · Final

MonzaHOME · -
3 : 22024.04.21 · 종료
PerugiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 70.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADES
MonzaAnalysis MetricsPerugia
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
100.0%
-1.25
Set DifferentialHigher is better
+2.50
2.42
평균 세트 실점Lower is better
0.50
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Monza
L · 3-1W · 2-3W · 3-1W · 2-3L · 1-3
Perugia
W · 3-1W · 1-3W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 3-1
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Monza | 0 : 3 | Perugia |
| 2026.03.19 | Perugia | 3 : 0 | Monza |
| 2026.03.16 | Monza | 2 : 3 | Perugia |
| 2026.03.08 | Perugia | 3 : 1 | Monza |
| 2025.11.27 | Perugia | 3 : 1 | Monza |
| 2025.10.22 | Monza | 1 : 3 | Perugia |
| 2025.03.21 | Perugia | 3 : 1 | Monza |
| 2025.03.12 | Monza | 1 : 3 | Perugia |
| 2024.04.29 | Monza | 1 : 3 | Perugia |
| 2024.04.26 | Perugia | 3 : 1 | Monza |