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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · Semi-finals
MilanoHOME · -
1 : 32024.04.12 · 종료
PerugiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 65.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.4%
VALUE EDGE+55.4%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
MilanoAnalysis MetricsPerugia
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%
-0.42 Set DifferentialHigher is better +2.50
2.17 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 0.50
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation4.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Milano
L · 3-1W · 3-2L · 3-1W · 0-3W · 3-2
Perugia
W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 3-1W · 3-2W · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.05Perugia3 : 1Milano
2025.12.08Milano0 : 3Perugia
2024.04.12Milano1 : 3Perugia
2024.04.08Perugia3 : 1Milano
2024.04.04Milano3 : 2Perugia
2024.04.01Perugia3 : 1Milano
2024.03.04Milano3 : 2Perugia
2023.12.27Perugia2 : 3Milano