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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · Semi-finals
PerugiaHOME · -
3 : 12024.04.01 · 종료
MilanoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.1%
VALUE EDGE+70.1%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADES
PerugiaAnalysis MetricsMilano
100.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.50 Set DifferentialHigher is better -0.42
0.50 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 2.17
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Perugia
W · 3-2W · 1-3W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 3-1
Milano
W · 0-3W · 3-2L · 3-2L · 1-3W · 2-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.05Perugia3 : 1Milano
2025.12.08Milano0 : 3Perugia
2024.04.12Milano1 : 3Perugia
2024.04.08Perugia3 : 1Milano
2024.04.04Milano3 : 2Perugia
2024.04.01Perugia3 : 1Milano
2024.03.04Milano3 : 2Perugia
2023.12.27Perugia2 : 3Milano