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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · Quarter-finals
VeronaHOME · -
1 : 32024.03.11 · 종료
PerugiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 69.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.9%
VALUE EDGE+65.9%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADES
VeronaAnalysis MetricsPerugia
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%
-0.42 Set DifferentialHigher is better +2.50
2.17 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 0.50
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
34.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Verona
L · 3-1L · 0-3W · 0-3L · 3-0W · 3-1
Perugia
W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 3-1W · 0-3W · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.02.22Verona0 : 3Perugia
2025.11.17Perugia2 : 3Verona
2024.03.18Perugia3 : 2Verona
2024.03.11Verona1 : 3Perugia
2024.03.07Perugia3 : 1Verona
2024.02.12Perugia2 : 3Verona
2023.11.27Verona0 : 3Perugia