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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 21
ModenaHOME · -
3 : 12024.02.26 · 종료
Saturnia AcicastelloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.3%
VALUE EDGE+80.3%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
ModenaAnalysis MetricsSaturnia Acicastello
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+0.83 Set DifferentialHigher is better -1.75
1.33 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 2.83
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Modena
L · 3-0W · 3-2W · 3-0L · 3-0L · 3-1
Saturnia Acicastello
L · 3-0L · 2-3L · 0-3L · 3-0L · 2-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.26Modena3 : 1Saturnia Acicastello
2023.12.17Saturnia Acicastello2 : 3Modena