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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 17
MilanoHOME · -
3 : 02024.02.04 · 종료
Saturnia AcicastelloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.9%
VALUE EDGE+86.9%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
MilanoAnalysis MetricsSaturnia Acicastello
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-0.42 Set DifferentialHigher is better -1.67
2.17 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 2.83
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
9.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Milano
L · 3-0L · 3-2W · 3-0L · 3-2W · 3-0
Saturnia Acicastello
L · 2-3L · 3-1L · 1-3L · 3-1L · 0-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.04Milano3 : 0Saturnia Acicastello
2023.11.20Saturnia Acicastello1 : 3Milano