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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 16
PadovaHOME · -
3 : 12024.01.26 · 종료
ModenaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 69.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.7%
VALUE EDGE+65.7%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
PadovaAnalysis MetricsModena
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-1.50 Set DifferentialHigher is better +0.83
2.58 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 1.33
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
34.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Padova
L · 3-1L · 2-3L · 3-0L · 1-3L · 0-3
Modena
L · 0-3W · 2-3L · 0-3L · 3-0L · 0-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.05Padova1 : 3Modena
2025.11.10Modena3 : 0Padova
2024.04.18Modena3 : 1Padova
2024.01.26Padova3 : 1Modena
2023.11.16Modena3 : 1Padova