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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 15
ModenaHOME · -
0 : 32024.01.21 · 종료
PerugiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME19.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY80.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +80.1%
VALUE EDGE+80.1%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
ModenaAnalysis MetricsPerugia
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%
+0.83 Set DifferentialHigher is better +2.50
1.33 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 0.50
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
19.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
80.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Modena
W · 2-3L · 0-3L · 3-0L · 0-3W · 2-3
Perugia
W · 3-0W · 3-0W · 0-3L · 2-3L · 3-1

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.12Perugia3 : 1Modena
2025.11.03Modena1 : 3Perugia
2024.01.21Modena0 : 3Perugia
2023.11.13Perugia3 : 1Modena