Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SuperLega
Italy · 14
PerugiaHOME · -
3 : 02024.01.15 · 종료
Lube CivitanovaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 64.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
PerugiaAnalysis MetricsLube Civitanova
100.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+2.50
Set DifferentialHigher is better
+0.75
0.50
평균 세트 실점Lower is better
1.42
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Perugia
W · 3-0W · 0-3L · 2-3L · 3-1W · 3-1
Lube Civitanova
W · 3-0W · 1-3L · 2-3W · 2-3W · 1-3
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.07 | Perugia | 3 : 1 | Lube Civitanova |
| 2026.05.04 | Lube Civitanova | 1 : 3 | Perugia |
| 2026.05.01 | Perugia | 3 : 0 | Lube Civitanova |
| 2026.01.19 | Lube Civitanova | 1 : 3 | Perugia |
| 2025.10.27 | Perugia | 3 : 2 | Lube Civitanova |
| 2024.01.15 | Perugia | 3 : 0 | Lube Civitanova |
| 2023.11.06 | Lube Civitanova | 3 : 2 | Perugia |