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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 12
MilanoHOME · -
3 : 02023.12.31 · 종료
ModenaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 56.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
MilanoAnalysis MetricsModena
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-0.42 Set DifferentialHigher is better +0.83
2.17 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 1.33
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Milano
W · 2-3W · 3-2L · 3-2W · 0-3W · 3-0
Modena
L · 0-3W · 2-3W · 3-1W · 2-3W · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.27Milano1 : 3Modena
2026.04.20Modena3 : 1Milano
2026.02.02Modena3 : 0Milano
2025.10.21Milano3 : 2Modena
2023.12.31Milano3 : 0Modena
2023.10.22Modena3 : 2Milano