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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 12
Saturnia AcicastelloHOME · -
0 : 32023.12.31 · 종료
PerugiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY82.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +82.4%
VALUE EDGE+82.4%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
Saturnia AcicastelloAnalysis MetricsPerugia
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%
-1.67 Set DifferentialHigher is better +2.50
2.83 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 0.50
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
17.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
82.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saturnia Acicastello
L · 3-1L · 2-3L · 1-3L · 3-1L · 3-0
Perugia
L · 2-3L · 3-1W · 3-1W · 0-3W · 3-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.12.31Saturnia Acicastello0 : 3Perugia
2023.10.23Perugia3 : 0Saturnia Acicastello