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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 11
TarantoHOME · -
3 : 12023.12.27 · 종료
Saturnia AcicastelloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 69.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
TarantoAnalysis MetricsSaturnia Acicastello
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-1.50 Set DifferentialHigher is better -1.75
2.83 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 2.83
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
9.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation13.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Taranto
L · 3-2L · 1-3L · 2-3L · 3-2L · 3-2
Saturnia Acicastello
L · 2-3L · 1-3L · 3-1L · 3-0L · 1-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.04Saturnia Acicastello3 : 1Taranto
2023.12.27Taranto3 : 1Saturnia Acicastello