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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 9
PerugiaHOME · -
3 : 02023.11.23 · 종료
PadovaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 83.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.8%
VALUE EDGE+86.8%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADES
PerugiaAnalysis MetricsPadova
100.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+2.50 Set DifferentialHigher is better -1.50
0.50 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 2.58
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Perugia
W · 3-2W · 1-3W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 0-3
Padova
W · 3-1L · 3-1W · 3-2W · 2-3L · 0-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.29Perugia3 : 0Padova
2026.02.02Padova1 : 3Perugia
2025.10.30Perugia3 : 0Padova
2024.02.19Padova0 : 3Perugia
2023.11.23Perugia3 : 0Padova