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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 6
PerugiaHOME · -
3 : 22023.11.20 · 종료
PiacenzaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 56.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.7%
VALUE EDGE+50.7%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEA
PerugiaAnalysis MetricsPiacenza
100.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+2.50 Set DifferentialHigher is better +0.58
0.50 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 1.67
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation0.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Perugia
W · 1-3W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 0-3W · 3-0
Piacenza
W · 3-1L · 3-1W · 3-0W · 0-3W · 3-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.13Perugia3 : 0Piacenza
2026.04.10Piacenza1 : 3Perugia
2026.04.07Perugia3 : 1Piacenza
2026.02.16Perugia3 : 2Piacenza
2025.11.10Piacenza2 : 3Perugia
2024.02.05Piacenza3 : 1Perugia
2023.11.20Perugia3 : 2Piacenza