Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SuperLega
Italy · 5
Lube CivitanovaHOME · -
3 : 02023.11.16 · 종료
Saturnia AcicastelloAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 56.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Lube CivitanovaAnalysis MetricsSaturnia Acicastello
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+0.75
Set DifferentialHigher is better
-1.83
1.42
평균 세트 실점Lower is better
2.83
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lube Civitanova
L · 3-0W · 3-2W · 0-3L · 0-3
Saturnia Acicastello
L · 1-3L · 3-0W · 3-1L · 3-0
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.25 | Saturnia Acicastello | 2 : 3 | Lube Civitanova |
| 2023.11.16 | Lube Civitanova | 3 : 0 | Saturnia Acicastello |