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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 4
MilanoHOME · -
3 : 02023.11.13 · 종료
Lube CivitanovaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 65.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
MilanoAnalysis MetricsLube Civitanova
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-0.42 Set DifferentialHigher is better +0.75
2.17 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 1.42
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Milano
L · 3-0L · 0-3L · 3-2
Lube Civitanova
W · 3-2W · 0-3L · 0-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.09Milano0 : 3Lube Civitanova
2026.01.26Milano3 : 1Lube Civitanova
2025.12.15Lube Civitanova3 : 2Milano
2024.01.22Lube Civitanova3 : 2Milano
2023.11.13Milano3 : 0Lube Civitanova