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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SuperLega Italy · 1
PerugiaHOME · -
3 : 02023.10.23 · 종료
Saturnia AcicastelloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
배구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Set differential · Sets conceded · Recent form · Home/Away

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 56.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +50.8%
VALUE EDGE+50.8%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEB
PerugiaAnalysis MetricsSaturnia Acicastello
100.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+2.50 Set DifferentialHigher is better -1.83
0.50 평균 세트 실점Lower is better 2.83
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.6 / 15
Prediction separation0.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
50.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Perugia
Collecting Data
Saturnia Acicastello
Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.12.31Saturnia Acicastello0 : 3Perugia
2023.10.23Perugia3 : 0Saturnia Acicastello