경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Bundesliga
Germany · Regular Season - 4

Bayer LeverkusenHOME · 1.85
2 : 02026.09.20 · 종료
RB LeipzigAWAY · 3.55

HOME · 현재 순위
5위
승점 7
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
9위
승점 6
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.0%
DRAW11.3%
AWAY7.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME51.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승51.4%표본 173경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승49.4%현재 이동 -6.6%
OPEN → NOW1.98 → 1.85배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:34:25
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Bayer LeverkusenW · 2-0D · 2-2W · 4-0W · 0-4W · 1-2
RB LeipzigW · 5-0L · 4-1L · 3-1W · 0-6L · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME61 SNAPSHOTS
-4.91%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW61 SNAPSHOTS
+3.75%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY61 SNAPSHOTS
+9.41%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 12:15:29 | 1.97 | 4.09 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-20 00:23:07 | 1.98 | 4.11 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 00:52:56 | 1.96 | 4.05 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 00:52:57 | 2.04 | 4.23 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 01:23:05 | 1.97 | 4.10 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 01:23:06 | 1.99 | 4.12 | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-20 01:52:56 | 1.98 | 4.11 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 01:53:26 | 1.98 | 4.11 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 02:22:53 | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-20 02:22:54 | 1.99 | 4.15 | 3.28 |
| 2026-09-20 02:23:22 | 1.98 | 4.11 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 02:53:32 | 1.96 | 4.05 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 02:53:33 | 2.04 | 4.23 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 03:23:54 | 1.98 | 4.11 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 03:52:59 | 1.96 | 4.05 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 03:53:00 | 2.04 | 4.23 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 04:23:18 | 1.95 | 4.05 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-20 04:23:19 | 2.00 | 4.14 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 04:53:12 | 1.98 | 4.08 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 05:23:01 | 1.98 | 4.08 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 05:53:38 | 1.97 | 4.02 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 05:53:39 | 2.05 | 4.31 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 06:23:45 | 1.98 | 4.08 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 06:53:27 | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-20 06:53:28 | 1.99 | 4.11 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 07:23:58 | 1.98 | 4.08 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 08:02:36 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 08:42:52 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 09:23:16 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 10:02:38 | 1.97 | 4.10 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 10:02:39 | 2.00 | 4.06 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 10:43:01 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:43 | 1.97 | 4.10 | 3.28 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:44 | 2.01 | 4.05 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 12:02:27 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 12:43:51 | 1.96 | 4.06 | 3.24 |
| 2026-09-20 12:43:52 | 2.03 | 4.09 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-20 13:22:57 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:28 | 1.97 | 4.01 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:29 | 2.05 | 4.31 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 14:43:21 | 1.97 | 4.10 | 3.28 |
| 2026-09-20 14:43:22 | 2.01 | 4.05 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:55 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 15:53:25 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 16:23:44 | 1.99 | 4.07 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-20 16:53:20 | 1.95 | 4.13 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-20 17:24:24 | 1.95 | 4.05 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-20 17:24:25 | 1.95 | 4.15 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:33 | 1.95 | 4.13 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-20 18:24:20 | 1.95 | 4.13 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-20 19:04:17 | 1.95 | 4.13 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-20 19:43:55 | 1.86 | 4.19 | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 19:43:56 | 1.92 | 4.41 | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-20 20:23:47 | 1.88 | 4.23 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-20 21:03:46 | 1.88 | 4.23 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-20 21:33:37 | 1.88 | 4.23 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-20 22:03:30 | 1.88 | 4.23 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-20 22:34:09 | 1.87 | 4.22 | 3.57 |
| 2026-09-20 22:34:10 | 1.93 | 4.40 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-20 23:03:15 | 1.87 | 4.24 | 3.57 |
| 2026-09-20 23:34:25 | 1.87 | 4.24 | 3.57 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 : 0 | RB Leipzig |
| 2026.05.03 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 : 1 | RB Leipzig |
| 2025.12.21 | RB Leipzig | 1 : 3 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2025.01.25 | RB Leipzig | 2 : 2 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2024.09.01 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 : 3 | RB Leipzig |