경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Bundesliga
Germany · Regular Season - 4

Hamburger SVHOME · 2.68
2 : 12026.09.19 · 종료
1. FC KölnAWAY · 2.54

HOME · 현재 순위
16위
승점 3
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
13위
승점 4
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME16.4%
DRAW17.5%
AWAY66.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH76 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME35.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승28.0%표본 143경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.2%현재 이동 -0.7%
OPEN → NOW2.70 → 2.68배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:43:50
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Hamburger SVL · 5-0L · 0-5L · 2-0W · 0-3W · 1-2
1. FC KölnD · 1-1L · 4-1W · 1-2W · 2-1D · 2-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME62 SNAPSHOTS
+1.19%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW62 SNAPSHOTS
-0.77%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY62 SNAPSHOTS
+4.03%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 12:15:24 | 2.68 | 3.62 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-19 00:23:52 | 2.65 | 3.58 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 00:23:53 | 2.80 | 3.76 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-19 00:53:36 | 2.66 | 3.50 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-19 00:53:37 | 2.69 | 3.65 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-19 01:24:12 | 2.71 | 3.59 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 01:53:29 | 2.71 | 3.59 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 02:24:07 | 2.71 | 3.59 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 02:53:17 | 2.71 | 3.59 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 03:23:30 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 03:23:31 | 2.72 | 3.61 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-19 03:52:54 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 03:52:55 | 2.72 | 3.61 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-19 04:23:30 | 2.71 | 3.60 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-19 05:03:12 | 2.71 | 3.60 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-19 05:43:00 | 2.71 | 3.60 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-19 06:23:31 | 2.69 | 3.55 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-19 06:23:32 | 2.72 | 3.62 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 07:02:29 | 2.69 | 3.55 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 07:02:30 | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-19 07:43:44 | 2.69 | 3.55 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-19 07:43:45 | 2.72 | 3.62 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 08:23:57 | 2.71 | 3.60 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-19 09:02:30 | 2.71 | 3.60 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-19 09:43:31 | 2.71 | 3.60 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-19 10:23:44 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 11:02:48 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 11:43:29 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 12:24:12 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 13:04:23 | 2.69 | 3.55 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-19 13:04:24 | 2.71 | 3.62 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-19 13:43:36 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 13:43:37 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 13:43:38 | 2.71 | 3.62 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-19 14:23:21 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 14:23:22 | 2.70 | 3.59 | 2.44 |
| 2026-09-19 14:23:23 | 2.72 | 3.61 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 15:04:31 | 2.70 | 3.56 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-19 15:04:32 | 2.70 | 3.62 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 15:04:34 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 15:43:17 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 15:43:18 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-19 16:24:46 | 2.66 | 3.58 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-19 17:04:31 | 2.66 | 3.58 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-19 17:44:27 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 17:44:28 | 2.67 | 3.61 | 2.49 |
| 2026-09-19 18:25:44 | 2.67 | 3.58 | 2.50 |
| 2026-09-19 18:25:45 | 2.65 | 3.59 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-19 19:05:07 | 2.66 | 3.58 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-19 19:05:08 | 2.67 | 3.59 | 2.49 |
| 2026-09-19 19:45:30 | 2.67 | 3.58 | 2.50 |
| 2026-09-19 19:45:31 | 2.65 | 3.59 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-19 20:24:35 | 2.66 | 3.58 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-19 21:04:18 | 2.67 | 3.58 | 2.50 |
| 2026-09-19 21:04:19 | 2.65 | 3.59 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-19 21:44:16 | 2.66 | 3.58 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-19 22:24:57 | 2.62 | 3.45 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-19 22:24:58 | 2.74 | 3.61 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-19 23:04:42 | 2.66 | 3.49 | 2.49 |
| 2026-09-19 23:04:43 | 2.74 | 3.62 | 2.54 |
| 2026-09-19 23:43:49 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-19 23:43:50 | 2.71 | 3.59 | 2.54 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.19 | Hamburger SV | 2 : 1 | 1. FC Köln |
| 2026.03.15 | Hamburger SV | 1 : 1 | 1. FC Köln |
| 2025.11.02 | 1. FC Köln | 4 : 1 | Hamburger SV |
| 2025.01.19 | Hamburger SV | 1 : 0 | 1. FC Köln |
| 2024.08.03 | 1. FC Köln | 1 : 2 | Hamburger SV |