경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Bundesliga
Germany · Regular Season - 3

SV ElversbergHOME · 16.00
1 : 22026.09.14 · 종료
Bayern MünchenAWAY · 1.14

HOME · 현재 순위
6위
승점 6
· 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
4위
승점 7
· 3경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.1%
DRAW22.5%
AWAY51.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME6.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승34.3%현재 이동 +14.3%
OPEN → NOW14.00 → 16.00배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:53:19
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
SV ElversbergW · 3-4W · 1-3W · 4-1D · 1-1W · 2-5
Bayern MünchenW · 5-0D · 0-0W · 1-4W · 5-1W · 1-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME66 SNAPSHOTS
+12.13%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW66 SNAPSHOTS
+11.00%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY66 SNAPSHOTS
-1.53%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-12 12:15:33 | 13.75 | 8.33 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 00:23:16 | 13.00 | 8.00 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 00:23:17 | 13.84 | 8.31 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 00:52:43 | 13.65 | 8.24 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 01:23:19 | 13.00 | 8.00 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 01:23:20 | 13.37 | 8.32 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 01:23:21 | 15.00 | 8.30 | 1.19 |
| 2026-09-13 01:53:12 | 13.76 | 8.25 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 02:23:31 | 13.92 | 8.07 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 02:23:32 | 13.69 | 8.34 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 02:53:04 | 13.76 | 8.25 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 03:23:35 | 13.76 | 8.25 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 03:52:45 | 13.76 | 8.25 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 04:22:48 | 13.76 | 8.25 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 04:52:58 | 13.99 | 8.33 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 05:22:58 | 13.99 | 8.33 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 05:52:59 | 14.04 | 8.40 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 05:53:00 | 13.88 | 8.20 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 06:23:22 | 13.00 | 8.00 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 06:23:23 | 14.27 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 06:53:20 | 13.00 | 8.00 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 06:53:21 | 14.27 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 07:23:33 | 13.95 | 8.34 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 07:23:34 | 14.03 | 8.32 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 07:52:33 | 13.90 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 08:23:31 | 13.90 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 08:52:41 | 13.90 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 09:22:55 | 13.90 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 09:52:45 | 13.90 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 10:23:08 | 13.90 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 10:52:49 | 14.05 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 11:22:57 | 14.05 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 11:52:59 | 14.00 | 8.60 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 11:53:00 | 14.09 | 8.28 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 12:23:14 | 14.05 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 12:52:38 | 14.05 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 13:22:55 | 13.00 | 8.25 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 13:22:56 | 14.35 | 8.47 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 13:52:56 | 14.05 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 14:23:09 | 13.68 | 8.38 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 14:23:10 | 17.00 | 8.75 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 14:52:46 | 14.05 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 15:22:57 | 14.05 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 16:03:19 | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 16:03:20 | 14.18 | 8.54 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 16:43:52 | 14.05 | 8.42 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 17:24:11 | 14.80 | 8.92 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 17:24:12 | 13.97 | 8.69 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 18:02:23 | 14.43 | 8.82 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 18:44:34 | 14.30 | 8.73 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 18:44:35 | 15.50 | 9.50 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 19:24:22 | 14.79 | 8.97 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 19:24:23 | 13.71 | 8.51 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 20:03:18 | 14.83 | 9.18 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 20:44:14 | 14.83 | 9.18 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 21:23:45 | 13.00 | 8.00 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 21:23:46 | 15.06 | 9.33 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 21:53:12 | 14.36 | 9.10 | 1.14 |
| 2026-09-13 21:53:13 | 16.50 | 9.48 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 22:24:26 | 14.75 | 9.15 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-13 22:24:27 | 15.50 | 9.50 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 22:53:37 | 15.23 | 9.22 | 1.14 |
| 2026-09-13 22:53:38 | 17.00 | 9.50 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 23:24:04 | 15.50 | 9.28 | 1.14 |
| 2026-09-13 23:24:05 | 15.36 | 9.22 | 1.14 |
| 2026-09-13 23:53:19 | 15.42 | 9.25 | 1.14 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.14 | SV Elversberg | 1 : 2 | Bayern München |