경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Bundesliga
Germany · Regular Season - 3
Borussia DortmundHOME · 1.27
3 : 02026.09.12 · 종료
SC Paderborn 07AWAY · 9.81
HOME · 현재 순위
1위
승점 12
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
12위
승점 4
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.9%
DRAW23.6%
AWAY29.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME75.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승68.4%표본 19경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승44.9%현재 이동 +2.4%
OPEN → NOW1.24 → 1.27배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:52:10
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Borussia DortmundW · 3-2W · 2-3W · 0-5W · 2-0L · 1-2
SC Paderborn 07L · 0-1W · 2-4D · 2-2W · 0-2W · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME63 SNAPSHOTS
+2.52%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW63 SNAPSHOTS
-3.89%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY63 SNAPSHOTS
-9.77%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-11 12:15:20 | 1.24 | 6.60 | 10.65 |
| 2026-09-12 00:22:28 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.59 |
| 2026-09-12 00:52:27 | 1.23 | 6.67 | 10.58 |
| 2026-09-12 00:52:28 | 1.23 | 6.78 | 10.76 |
| 2026-09-12 01:22:25 | 1.23 | 6.73 | 10.67 |
| 2026-09-12 01:52:28 | 1.23 | 6.73 | 10.67 |
| 2026-09-12 02:22:27 | 1.23 | 6.73 | 10.67 |
| 2026-09-12 03:02:23 | 1.23 | 6.73 | 10.67 |
| 2026-09-12 03:42:24 | 1.23 | 6.73 | 10.67 |
| 2026-09-12 04:22:29 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 05:02:27 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 05:42:25 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 06:22:29 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 07:02:24 | 1.24 | 6.60 | 10.00 |
| 2026-09-12 07:02:25 | 1.24 | 6.69 | 10.61 |
| 2026-09-12 07:42:29 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 08:22:31 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 09:02:30 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 09:42:30 | 1.24 | 6.64 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 10:23:06 | 1.23 | 6.60 | 10.25 |
| 2026-09-12 10:23:07 | 1.25 | 6.74 | 10.32 |
| 2026-09-12 11:03:48 | 1.24 | 6.67 | 10.08 |
| 2026-09-12 11:03:49 | 1.23 | 6.66 | 10.38 |
| 2026-09-12 11:12:03 | 1.23 | 6.63 | 10.22 |
| 2026-09-12 11:12:04 | 1.27 | 6.90 | 10.75 |
| 2026-09-12 11:43:14 | 1.24 | 6.66 | 10.28 |
| 2026-09-12 11:52:03 | 1.24 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
| 2026-09-12 11:52:04 | 1.24 | 6.71 | 10.50 |
| 2026-09-12 12:23:32 | 1.24 | 6.66 | 10.28 |
| 2026-09-12 12:32:04 | 1.24 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
| 2026-09-12 12:32:05 | 1.24 | 6.71 | 10.50 |
| 2026-09-12 13:12:03 | 1.24 | 6.75 | 10.31 |
| 2026-09-12 13:12:04 | 1.24 | 6.59 | 10.25 |
| 2026-09-12 13:52:04 | 1.23 | 6.60 | 10.25 |
| 2026-09-12 13:52:05 | 1.25 | 6.74 | 10.32 |
| 2026-09-12 14:32:03 | 1.24 | 6.66 | 10.28 |
| 2026-09-12 15:12:03 | 1.24 | 6.66 | 10.28 |
| 2026-09-12 15:52:03 | 1.24 | 6.66 | 10.28 |
| 2026-09-12 16:32:06 | 1.24 | 6.67 | 10.08 |
| 2026-09-12 16:32:07 | 1.23 | 6.66 | 10.38 |
| 2026-09-12 17:12:10 | 1.22 | 6.82 | 10.83 |
| 2026-09-12 17:12:11 | 1.25 | 6.57 | 10.51 |
| 2026-09-12 17:52:09 | 1.22 | 6.82 | 10.83 |
| 2026-09-12 17:52:10 | 1.25 | 6.57 | 10.51 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:25 | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:26 | 1.22 | 6.98 | 11.00 |
| 2026-09-12 18:32:27 | 1.25 | 6.68 | 10.62 |
| 2026-09-12 19:12:15 | 1.23 | 6.73 | 10.63 |
| 2026-09-12 19:12:16 | 1.22 | 6.67 | 10.38 |
| 2026-09-12 19:12:17 | 1.27 | 6.86 | 11.43 |
| 2026-09-12 19:52:12 | 1.22 | 6.78 | 10.80 |
| 2026-09-12 19:52:13 | 1.25 | 6.68 | 10.62 |
| 2026-09-12 20:32:12 | 1.22 | 6.70 | 10.52 |
| 2026-09-12 20:32:13 | 1.27 | 6.86 | 11.43 |
| 2026-09-12 21:12:12 | 1.22 | 6.70 | 10.52 |
| 2026-09-12 21:12:13 | 1.27 | 6.86 | 11.43 |
| 2026-09-12 21:52:09 | 1.23 | 6.63 | 10.50 |
| 2026-09-12 21:52:10 | 1.24 | 6.79 | 10.83 |
| 2026-09-12 22:32:15 | 1.22 | 6.78 | 10.80 |
| 2026-09-12 22:32:16 | 1.25 | 6.68 | 10.62 |
| 2026-09-12 23:12:11 | 1.26 | 6.40 | 9.72 |
| 2026-09-12 23:12:12 | 1.29 | 6.25 | 9.38 |
| 2026-09-12 23:52:10 | 1.27 | 6.35 | 9.61 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.12 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 : 0 | SC Paderborn 07 |