LIVE 40 오늘 1,056경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Bundesliga Germany · Regular Season - 2
Bayer LeverkusenHOME · 1.37
4 : 02026.09.05 · 종료
Union BerlinAWAY · 7.58
HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 10 · 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 16위 승점 4 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.3%
DRAW15.9%
AWAY53.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 75/100
AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +41.1%
VALUE EDGE+41.1%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +34.8%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +27.8%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
H2H HOME +25.0%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Bayer Leverkusen분석 지표Union Berlin
83.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
3.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42
0.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.33
100.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

75/100 MEDIUM
데이터 커버리지15.0 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본3.0 / 10
모델 일치도4.7 / 15
예측 분리도10.0 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME69.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승66.7%표본 54경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승49.0%현재 이동 -4.9%
OPEN → NOW1.44 → 1.37배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:52:38

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
30.3%
DRAW
15.9%
AWAY
53.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Bayer Leverkusen
W · 0-4W · 1-2L · 2-1W · 2-1W · 3-0
Union Berlin
W · 2-4L · 2-4W · 3-2D · 2-2L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+26.0%+13.0%0.0%-13.0%-26.0%09/04 06:1509/05 04:3209/05 11:5209/05 17:5209/05 23:52HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:26HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-09-04 18:15:31HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.39% · 2026-09-05 00:22:35HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.82% · 2026-09-05 00:52:40HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.82% · 2026-09-05 01:22:38HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.82% · 2026-09-05 01:52:39HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.82% · 2026-09-05 02:22:39HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 -0.17% · 2026-09-05 02:52:40HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +1.00% · 2026-09-05 02:52:41HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.82% · 2026-09-05 03:22:33HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 03:32:07HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 04:02:06HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 04:32:06HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 05:12:06HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 05:52:06HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 06:32:07HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 07:12:06HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 07:52:07HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 08:32:07HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 09:12:07HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 09:52:08HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 10:32:09HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.17% · 2026-09-05 11:12:22HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.57% · 2026-09-05 11:12:23HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 11:52:16HOME · 배당 1.44 · 변동 +0.17% · 2026-09-05 12:32:18HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.57% · 2026-09-05 12:32:19HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 13:12:28HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-05 13:52:19HOME · 배당 1.50 · 변동 +4.35% · 2026-09-05 13:52:20HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 14:32:15HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.33% · 2026-09-05 15:12:25HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.45% · 2026-09-05 15:52:24HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-09-05 16:32:38HOME · 배당 1.47 · 변동 +2.03% · 2026-09-05 16:32:39HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.45% · 2026-09-05 17:12:23HOME · 배당 1.46 · 변동 +1.45% · 2026-09-05 17:52:21HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-09-05 18:32:54HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +1.10% · 2026-09-05 18:32:55HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-05 19:12:21HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-05 19:52:28HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-05 20:32:14HOME · 배당 1.45 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-05 21:12:40HOME · 배당 1.37 · 변동 -4.58% · 2026-09-05 21:52:22HOME · 배당 1.36 · 변동 -5.39% · 2026-09-05 22:32:40HOME · 배당 1.40 · 변동 -2.96% · 2026-09-05 22:32:41HOME · 배당 1.37 · 변동 -4.58% · 2026-09-05 23:12:28HOME · 배당 1.36 · 변동 -5.39% · 2026-09-05 23:52:37HOME · 배당 1.40 · 변동 -2.96% · 2026-09-05 23:52:38DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:26DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.02% · 2026-09-04 18:15:31DRAW · 배당 4.88 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-05 00:22:35DRAW · 배당 4.86 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-09-05 00:52:40DRAW · 배당 4.86 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-09-05 01:22:38DRAW · 배당 4.86 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-09-05 01:52:39DRAW · 배당 4.86 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-09-05 02:22:39DRAW · 배당 4.70 · 변동 -3.13% · 2026-09-05 02:52:40DRAW · 배당 4.89 · 변동 +0.87% · 2026-09-05 02:52:41DRAW · 배당 4.86 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-09-05 03:22:33DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 -0.07% · 2026-09-05 03:32:07DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 -0.07% · 2026-09-05 04:02:06DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 -0.07% · 2026-09-05 04:32:06DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 -0.07% · 2026-09-05 05:12:06DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 -0.07% · 2026-09-05 05:52:06DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 06:32:07DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:12:06DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:52:07DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 08:32:07DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 09:12:07DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-05 09:52:08DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-05 10:32:09DRAW · 배당 4.60 · 변동 -5.19% · 2026-09-05 11:12:22DRAW · 배당 4.90 · 변동 +1.08% · 2026-09-05 11:12:23DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-05 11:52:16DRAW · 배당 4.60 · 변동 -5.19% · 2026-09-05 12:32:18DRAW · 배당 4.90 · 변동 +1.08% · 2026-09-05 12:32:19DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-05 13:12:28DRAW · 배당 4.81 · 변동 -0.90% · 2026-09-05 13:52:19DRAW · 배당 5.08 · 변동 +4.71% · 2026-09-05 13:52:20DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-05 14:32:15DRAW · 배당 4.85 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-05 15:12:25DRAW · 배당 4.90 · 변동 +1.06% · 2026-09-05 15:52:24DRAW · 배당 4.80 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-09-05 16:32:38DRAW · 배당 5.01 · 변동 +3.19% · 2026-09-05 16:32:39DRAW · 배당 4.90 · 변동 +1.06% · 2026-09-05 17:12:23DRAW · 배당 4.90 · 변동 +1.06% · 2026-09-05 17:52:21DRAW · 배당 4.80 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-09-05 18:32:54DRAW · 배당 5.06 · 변동 +4.29% · 2026-09-05 18:32:55DRAW · 배당 4.93 · 변동 +1.61% · 2026-09-05 19:12:21DRAW · 배당 4.93 · 변동 +1.61% · 2026-09-05 19:52:28DRAW · 배당 4.93 · 변동 +1.61% · 2026-09-05 20:32:14DRAW · 배당 4.93 · 변동 +1.61% · 2026-09-05 21:12:40DRAW · 배당 5.40 · 변동 +11.27% · 2026-09-05 21:52:22DRAW · 배당 5.31 · 변동 +9.50% · 2026-09-05 22:32:40DRAW · 배당 5.57 · 변동 +14.81% · 2026-09-05 22:32:41DRAW · 배당 5.40 · 변동 +11.27% · 2026-09-05 23:12:28DRAW · 배당 5.31 · 변동 +9.50% · 2026-09-05 23:52:37DRAW · 배당 5.57 · 변동 +14.81% · 2026-09-05 23:52:38AWAY · 배당 6.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:26AWAY · 배당 6.24 · 변동 -0.90% · 2026-09-04 18:15:31AWAY · 배당 6.22 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-05 00:22:35AWAY · 배당 6.14 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-09-05 00:52:40AWAY · 배당 6.14 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-09-05 01:22:38AWAY · 배당 6.14 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-09-05 01:52:39AWAY · 배당 6.14 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-09-05 02:22:39AWAY · 배당 6.10 · 변동 -3.12% · 2026-09-05 02:52:40AWAY · 배당 6.14 · 변동 -2.44% · 2026-09-05 02:52:41AWAY · 배당 6.14 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-09-05 03:22:33AWAY · 배당 6.19 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-09-05 03:32:07AWAY · 배당 6.19 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-09-05 04:02:06AWAY · 배당 6.19 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-09-05 04:32:06AWAY · 배당 6.19 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-09-05 05:12:06AWAY · 배당 6.19 · 변동 -1.64% · 2026-09-05 05:52:06AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 06:32:07AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 07:12:06AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 07:52:07AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 08:32:07AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 09:12:07AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 09:52:08AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 10:32:09AWAY · 배당 6.00 · 변동 -4.71% · 2026-09-05 11:12:22AWAY · 배당 6.23 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 11:12:23AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 11:52:16AWAY · 배당 6.00 · 변동 -4.71% · 2026-09-05 12:32:18AWAY · 배당 6.23 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-09-05 12:32:19AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 13:12:28AWAY · 배당 6.13 · 변동 -2.58% · 2026-09-05 13:52:19AWAY · 배당 6.50 · 변동 +3.23% · 2026-09-05 13:52:20AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 14:32:15AWAY · 배당 6.20 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-09-05 15:12:25AWAY · 배당 6.36 · 변동 +0.95% · 2026-09-05 15:52:24AWAY · 배당 6.25 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-09-05 16:32:38AWAY · 배당 6.46 · 변동 +2.65% · 2026-09-05 16:32:39AWAY · 배당 6.36 · 변동 +0.95% · 2026-09-05 17:12:23AWAY · 배당 6.36 · 변동 +0.95% · 2026-09-05 17:52:21AWAY · 배당 6.25 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-09-05 18:32:54AWAY · 배당 6.49 · 변동 +3.02% · 2026-09-05 18:32:55AWAY · 배당 6.37 · 변동 +1.14% · 2026-09-05 19:12:21AWAY · 배당 6.37 · 변동 +1.14% · 2026-09-05 19:52:28AWAY · 배당 6.37 · 변동 +1.14% · 2026-09-05 20:32:14AWAY · 배당 6.37 · 변동 +1.14% · 2026-09-05 21:12:40AWAY · 배당 7.36 · 변동 +16.89% · 2026-09-05 21:52:22AWAY · 배당 7.18 · 변동 +13.95% · 2026-09-05 22:32:40AWAY · 배당 7.73 · 변동 +22.76% · 2026-09-05 22:32:41AWAY · 배당 7.36 · 변동 +16.89% · 2026-09-05 23:12:28AWAY · 배당 7.18 · 변동 +13.95% · 2026-09-05 23:52:37AWAY · 배당 7.73 · 변동 +22.76% · 2026-09-05 23:52:38
HOME49 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.44
→
CURRENT1.40
-2.96%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW49 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.85
→
CURRENT5.57
+14.81%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY49 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN6.30
→
CURRENT7.73
+22.76%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-04 06:15:261.444.856.30
2026-09-04 18:15:311.444.856.24
2026-09-05 00:22:351.444.886.22
2026-09-05 00:52:401.454.866.14
2026-09-05 01:22:381.454.866.14
2026-09-05 01:52:391.454.866.14
2026-09-05 02:22:391.454.866.14
2026-09-05 02:52:401.444.706.10
2026-09-05 02:52:411.454.896.14
2026-09-05 03:22:331.454.866.14
2026-09-05 03:32:071.464.856.19
2026-09-05 04:02:061.464.856.19
2026-09-05 04:32:061.464.856.19
2026-09-05 05:12:061.464.856.19
2026-09-05 05:52:061.464.856.19
2026-09-05 06:32:071.464.856.20
2026-09-05 07:12:061.464.856.20
2026-09-05 07:52:071.464.856.20
2026-09-05 08:32:071.464.856.20
2026-09-05 09:12:071.464.856.20
2026-09-05 09:52:081.464.856.20
2026-09-05 10:32:091.464.856.20
2026-09-05 11:12:221.444.606.00
2026-09-05 11:12:231.464.906.23
2026-09-05 11:52:161.464.856.20
2026-09-05 12:32:181.444.606.00
2026-09-05 12:32:191.464.906.23
2026-09-05 13:12:281.464.856.20
2026-09-05 13:52:191.454.816.13
2026-09-05 13:52:201.505.086.50
2026-09-05 14:32:151.464.856.20
2026-09-05 15:12:251.464.856.20
2026-09-05 15:52:241.464.906.36
2026-09-05 16:32:381.454.806.25
2026-09-05 16:32:391.475.016.46
2026-09-05 17:12:231.464.906.36
2026-09-05 17:52:211.464.906.36
2026-09-05 18:32:541.454.806.25
2026-09-05 18:32:551.455.066.49
2026-09-05 19:12:211.454.936.37
2026-09-05 19:52:281.454.936.37
2026-09-05 20:32:141.454.936.37
2026-09-05 21:12:401.454.936.37
2026-09-05 21:52:221.375.407.36
2026-09-05 22:32:401.365.317.18
2026-09-05 22:32:411.405.577.73
2026-09-05 23:12:281.375.407.36
2026-09-05 23:52:371.365.317.18
2026-09-05 23:52:381.405.577.73

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.05Bayer Leverkusen4 : 0Union Berlin
2026.02.21Union Berlin1 : 0Bayer Leverkusen
2025.10.04Bayer Leverkusen2 : 0Union Berlin
2025.04.12Bayer Leverkusen0 : 0Union Berlin
2024.11.30Union Berlin1 : 2Bayer Leverkusen