경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Bundesliga Germany · Regular Season - 2

VfB StuttgartHOME · 1.49

4 : 12026.09.05 · 종료

1. FC KölnAWAY · 5.80

HOME · 현재 순위 18위 승점 0 · 1경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 3 · 1경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.1%

DRAW17.2%

AWAY53.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 90/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +37.2%

VALUE EDGE+37.2%

FAIR ODDS1.86

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +27.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +36.1%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -7.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

H2H HOME +100.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE

VfB Stuttgart분석 지표1. FC Köln

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

2.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.00

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.0 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도5.7 / 15

예측 분리도10.6 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME64.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승58.7%표본 63경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.5%현재 이동 -2.6%

OPEN → NOW1.53 → 1.49배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:35

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

29.1%

DRAW

17.2%

AWAY

53.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

VfB Stuttgart

L · 5-1W · 0-4L · 1-0W · 3-1D · 2-2

1. FC Köln

W · 1-2W · 2-1D · 2-2W · 0-8L · 5-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.53

→

CURRENT1.48

-2.72%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.72

→

CURRENT4.89

+3.54%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.21

→

CURRENT5.61

+7.60%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 02:02:22	1.53	4.72	5.21
2026-09-04 02:12:27	1.53	4.72	5.21
2026-09-04 02:22:23	1.53	4.72	5.21
2026-09-04 03:12:32	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 03:22:33	1.53	4.71	5.19
2026-09-04 03:22:34	1.52	5.00	5.40
2026-09-04 03:32:31	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 03:42:31	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 03:52:32	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 04:12:30	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 04:32:30	1.52	4.66	5.12
2026-09-04 04:32:31	1.53	4.80	5.30
2026-09-04 04:52:33	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 05:12:31	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 05:32:33	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 05:52:32	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 06:12:31	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 06:32:33	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 06:52:33	1.53	4.71	5.19
2026-09-04 06:52:34	1.52	5.00	5.40
2026-09-04 07:12:33	1.52	4.70	5.16
2026-09-04 07:12:34	1.53	4.88	5.43
2026-09-04 07:32:30	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 07:52:32	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 08:12:32	1.53	4.73	5.11
2026-09-04 08:12:33	1.52	4.73	5.24
2026-09-04 08:32:35	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 08:52:34	1.52	4.73	5.20
2026-09-04 09:12:33	1.50	4.78	5.46
2026-09-04 09:32:35	1.50	4.78	5.46
2026-09-04 09:52:33	1.50	4.78	5.46
2026-09-04 10:12:30	1.51	4.78	5.28
2026-09-04 10:12:31	1.50	4.79	5.54
2026-09-04 10:32:33	1.50	4.78	5.46
2026-09-04 10:52:33	1.50	4.78	5.46
2026-09-04 11:12:31	1.49	4.78	5.43
2026-09-04 11:12:32	1.51	4.79	5.47
2026-09-04 11:32:32	1.49	4.73	5.36
2026-09-04 11:32:33	1.54	4.91	5.66
2026-09-04 11:52:33	1.50	4.78	5.46
2026-09-04 12:12:32	1.50	4.79	5.45
2026-09-04 12:32:34	1.49	5.00	5.00
2026-09-04 12:32:35	1.50	4.77	5.49
2026-09-04 12:52:32	1.50	4.79	5.45
2026-09-04 13:12:33	1.50	4.79	5.45
2026-09-04 13:32:31	1.50	4.79	5.45
2026-09-04 13:52:34	1.50	4.79	5.45
2026-09-04 14:12:30	1.50	4.79	5.45
2026-09-04 14:32:33	1.50	4.79	5.45
2026-09-04 14:52:34	1.50	4.79	5.45
2026-09-04 15:12:32	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 15:32:34	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 15:52:34	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 16:12:31	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 16:32:34	1.48	4.86	5.51
2026-09-04 16:32:35	1.52	4.84	5.45
2026-09-04 16:52:33	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 17:12:32	1.50	4.93	5.31
2026-09-04 17:12:33	1.49	4.82	5.56
2026-09-04 17:32:34	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 17:52:35	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 18:52:36	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 19:12:35	1.48	4.86	5.51
2026-09-04 19:12:36	1.52	4.84	5.45
2026-09-04 19:32:32	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 19:52:35	1.50	4.93	5.31
2026-09-04 19:52:36	1.49	4.82	5.56
2026-09-04 20:12:33	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 20:32:37	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 20:52:35	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 21:12:34	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 21:32:35	1.49	4.85	5.49
2026-09-04 21:52:36	1.48	4.89	5.61
2026-09-04 22:12:35	1.48	4.89	5.61
2026-09-04 22:32:36	1.49	5.00	5.00
2026-09-04 22:32:37	1.48	4.88	5.66
2026-09-04 22:52:38	1.48	4.89	5.61
2026-09-04 23:12:38	1.48	4.89	5.61
2026-09-04 23:32:34	1.48	4.89	5.61
2026-09-04 23:52:35	1.48	4.89	5.61

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	VfB Stuttgart	4 : 1	1. FC Köln
2026.02.15	VfB Stuttgart	3 : 1	1. FC Köln
2025.09.29	1. FC Köln	1 : 2	VfB Stuttgart

부상 / 결장

L. Waldschmidt1. FC Köln · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

S. El Mala1. FC Köln · Illness

Questionable

S. Sebulonsen1. FC Köln · Muscle Injury

Questionable

T. Dallinga1. FC Köln · Illness

Missing Fixture

T. Hubers1. FC Köln · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

D. SeimenVfB Stuttgart · Thigh Injury

Missing Fixture

D. ZagadouVfB Stuttgart · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

J. ArevaloVfB Stuttgart · Back Injury

Missing Fixture

J. DiehlVfB Stuttgart · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

L. JaquezVfB Stuttgart · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

N. NarteyVfB Stuttgart · Injury

Missing Fixture

T. TomasVfB Stuttgart · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

경기 통계

경기 통계가 아직 없습니다. 경기 전/라이브 coverage에 따라 수집됩니다.

분석 주의사항

표본 수가 작을 때 역사적 승률은 모델에서 자동으로 낮은 가중치를 받습니다. 현재 확률은 확정 결과가 아니라 시장 데이터와 누적 경기 결과를 결합한 분석값입니다.