경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

La Liga Spain · Regular Season - 7

EspanyolHOME · 1.80

1 : 32026.09.19 · 종료

ElcheAWAY · 4.55

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 7 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 20위 승점 2 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.4%

DRAW23.4%

AWAY16.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +7.7%

VALUE EDGE+7.7%

FAIR ODDS1.66

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 99/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +18.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +19.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.2%p

INJURIES AWAY -7.2%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Espanyol분석 지표Elche

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

1.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

3.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.4 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME52.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승59.2%표본 49경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.5%현재 이동 -1.6%

OPEN → NOW1.83 → 1.80배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:42:29

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

60.4%

DRAW

23.4%

AWAY

16.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Espanyol

L · 2-1W · 0-2D · 1-1L · 2-1L · 1-2

Elche

L · 2-3D · 1-1L · 2-3L · 3-2L · 0-5

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.85

→

CURRENT1.83

-1.08%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.47

→

CURRENT3.59

+3.43%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY78 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.30

→

CURRENT4.51

+4.91%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-17 00:15:17	1.85	3.47	4.30
2026-09-17 12:15:17	1.84	3.53	4.37
2026-09-17 12:15:18	1.83	3.55	4.28
2026-09-18 00:02:23	1.85	3.56	4.33
2026-09-18 00:22:22	1.85	3.56	4.33
2026-09-18 00:42:22	1.85	3.56	4.33
2026-09-18 01:02:20	1.85	3.56	4.33
2026-09-18 01:22:22	1.86	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 01:42:22	1.86	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 02:02:22	1.86	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 02:22:23	1.86	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 02:42:22	1.86	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 03:02:22	1.86	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 03:22:21	1.86	3.53	4.36
2026-09-18 03:22:22	1.87	3.65	4.15
2026-09-18 03:42:22	1.86	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 04:02:22	1.86	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 04:22:21	1.85	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 04:42:22	1.85	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 05:02:24	1.85	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 05:22:23	1.85	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 05:42:22	1.86	3.50	4.38
2026-09-18 05:42:23	1.85	3.58	4.31
2026-09-18 06:02:22	1.85	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 06:22:21	1.85	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 06:42:23	1.85	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 07:02:22	1.85	3.55	4.33
2026-09-18 07:22:22	1.85	3.55	4.39
2026-09-18 07:42:22	1.85	3.55	4.39
2026-09-18 08:02:23	1.85	3.55	4.39
2026-09-18 08:22:22	1.85	3.55	4.39
2026-09-18 08:42:22	1.86	3.50	4.38
2026-09-18 08:42:23	1.85	3.57	4.39
2026-09-18 09:02:22	1.85	3.55	4.39
2026-09-18 09:22:22	1.85	3.55	4.39
2026-09-18 09:42:22	1.85	3.55	4.39
2026-09-18 10:02:25	1.85	3.55	4.39
2026-09-18 10:22:22	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 10:42:22	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 11:02:22	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 11:22:22	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 11:42:21	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 12:02:24	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 12:22:23	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 12:42:22	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 13:02:20	1.84	3.55	4.41
2026-09-18 13:22:20	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 13:42:18	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 14:02:22	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 14:22:22	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 14:42:22	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 15:02:22	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 15:22:23	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 15:42:20	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 16:02:20	1.84	3.55	4.42
2026-09-18 16:22:23	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 16:42:21	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 17:02:24	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 17:22:23	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 17:42:20	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 18:02:22	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 18:22:23	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 18:42:20	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 19:02:24	1.82	3.57	4.49
2026-09-18 19:22:26	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 19:42:22	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 20:02:23	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 20:22:23	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 20:42:36	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 21:02:22	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 21:22:23	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 21:42:22	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 22:02:24	1.83	3.59	4.46
2026-09-18 22:22:24	1.83	3.59	4.51
2026-09-18 22:42:36	1.83	3.59	4.51
2026-09-18 23:02:28	1.83	3.59	4.51
2026-09-18 23:22:23	1.83	3.59	4.51
2026-09-18 23:42:29	1.83	3.59	4.51

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.19	Espanyol	1 : 3	Elche
2026.03.01	Elche	2 : 2	Espanyol
2025.10.25	Espanyol	1 : 0	Elche