경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
La Liga
Spain · Regular Season - 7
Atletico MadridHOME · 3.40
2 : 12026.09.20 · 종료
Real MadridAWAY · 2.05
HOME · 현재 순위
4위
승점 13
· 6경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 15
· 6경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.5%
DRAW27.6%
AWAY41.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME28.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승30.6%표본 85경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.8%현재 이동 -5.6%
OPEN → NOW3.60 → 3.40배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:33:50
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Atletico MadridW · 4-0W · 0-3L · 2-1L · 3-0W · 1-3
Real MadridW · 2-3W · 4-1W · 2-1L · 1-0W · 4-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME62 SNAPSHOTS
-4.55%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW62 SNAPSHOTS
-1.82%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY62 SNAPSHOTS
+5.75%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 12:15:06 | 3.56 | 3.78 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-19 12:15:07 | 3.42 | 3.78 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 00:22:24 | 3.54 | 3.82 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-20 00:22:25 | 3.65 | 3.94 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-20 00:52:19 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-20 00:52:20 | 3.59 | 3.91 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 01:22:21 | 3.55 | 3.84 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-20 01:22:22 | 3.70 | 3.94 | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-20 02:52:58 | 3.58 | 3.76 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-20 02:52:59 | 3.56 | 3.96 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-20 03:23:16 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-20 03:23:17 | 3.59 | 3.91 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-20 03:52:37 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 04:22:53 | 3.55 | 3.84 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-20 04:22:54 | 3.70 | 3.94 | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-20 04:52:45 | 3.54 | 3.82 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-20 04:52:46 | 3.64 | 3.94 | 2.02 |
| 2026-09-20 05:22:38 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 05:52:59 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-20 05:53:00 | 3.59 | 3.91 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-20 06:22:59 | 3.55 | 3.84 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-20 06:23:00 | 3.70 | 3.94 | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-20 06:52:59 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 07:23:24 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 08:02:23 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 08:42:35 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 09:22:46 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 10:02:23 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 10:42:39 | 3.55 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-20 10:42:40 | 3.58 | 3.94 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 11:23:01 | 3.57 | 3.86 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 12:02:17 | 3.20 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 12:02:18 | 3.50 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 12:43:08 | 3.47 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 13:22:34 | 3.47 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 14:02:17 | 3.47 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 14:42:48 | 3.47 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:33 | 3.40 | 3.85 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 15:22:34 | 3.49 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 15:52:53 | 3.47 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 16:23:00 | 3.47 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 16:52:47 | 3.47 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 17:23:34 | 3.48 | 3.88 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-20 17:23:35 | 3.45 | 3.74 | 2.02 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:04 | 3.30 | 3.78 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 17:53:05 | 3.48 | 3.78 | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-20 18:23:32 | 3.40 | 3.81 | 2.01 |
| 2026-09-20 18:23:33 | 3.48 | 3.75 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-20 19:03:38 | 3.44 | 3.78 | 2.02 |
| 2026-09-20 19:43:13 | 3.41 | 3.81 | 2.02 |
| 2026-09-20 19:43:14 | 3.48 | 3.73 | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-20 20:23:03 | 3.30 | 3.78 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-20 20:23:04 | 3.48 | 3.78 | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-20 21:03:10 | 3.39 | 3.71 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-20 21:32:59 | 3.40 | 3.66 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-20 21:33:00 | 3.39 | 3.75 | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-20 22:02:56 | 3.39 | 3.71 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-20 22:33:23 | 3.35 | 3.69 | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-20 22:33:24 | 3.56 | 3.78 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-20 23:02:48 | 3.37 | 3.71 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-20 23:02:49 | 3.55 | 3.75 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-20 23:33:50 | 3.39 | 3.71 | 2.07 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Atletico Madrid | 2 : 1 | Real Madrid |
| 2026.03.23 | Real Madrid | 3 : 2 | Atletico Madrid |
| 2025.09.27 | Atletico Madrid | 5 : 2 | Real Madrid |
| 2025.02.09 | Real Madrid | 1 : 1 | Atletico Madrid |
| 2024.09.30 | Atletico Madrid | 1 : 1 | Real Madrid |