경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

La Liga Spain · Regular Season - 6

ElcheHOME · 13.00

2 : 32026.09.16 · 종료

Real MadridAWAY · 1.20

HOME · 현재 순위 19위 승점 2 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 12 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME10.9%

DRAW19.1%

AWAY70.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 45.9% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +6.3%

VALUE EDGE+6.3%

FAIR ODDS5.23

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -21.7%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -5.6%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -30.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -9.0%p

INJURIES HOME +3.6%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Elche분석 지표Real Madrid

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.42

1.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

3.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME7.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승15.4%표본 13경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승6.7%현재 이동 +44.4%

OPEN → NOW9.00 → 13.00배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:08

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

10.9%

DRAW

19.1%

AWAY

70.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Elche

D · 1-1L · 2-3L · 3-2L · 0-5D · 1-1

Real Madrid

W · 4-1W · 2-1L · 1-0W · 4-0W · 4-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN10.41

→

CURRENT12.61

+21.07%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.58

→

CURRENT7.37

+11.87%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.24

→

CURRENT1.20

-2.62%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:32:09	10.41	6.58	1.24
2026-09-15 11:32:10	11.70	6.80	1.27
2026-09-15 11:42:09	10.70	6.63	1.24
2026-09-15 11:52:09	10.70	6.63	1.24
2026-09-15 12:02:09	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 12:12:09	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 12:22:09	11.00	6.50	1.22
2026-09-15 12:22:10	11.01	6.85	1.24
2026-09-15 12:32:09	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 12:42:08	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 12:52:09	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 13:02:09	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 13:12:09	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 13:22:10	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 13:32:10	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 13:42:09	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 13:52:10	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 14:02:08	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 14:12:08	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 14:22:10	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 14:32:10	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 14:42:09	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 14:52:10	11.01	6.81	1.23
2026-09-15 15:02:08	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 15:12:09	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 15:22:10	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 15:32:09	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 15:42:09	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 15:52:10	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 16:02:08	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 16:12:09	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 16:22:10	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 16:32:10	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 16:42:09	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 16:52:10	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 17:02:09	11.80	7.09	1.21
2026-09-15 17:02:10	10.12	6.74	1.26
2026-09-15 17:12:09	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 17:22:09	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 17:32:10	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 17:42:10	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 17:52:09	11.24	6.97	1.23
2026-09-15 18:02:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 18:12:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 18:22:11	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 18:32:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 18:42:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 18:52:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 19:02:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 19:12:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 19:22:08	12.62	7.39	1.20
2026-09-15 19:22:09	12.50	7.20	1.24
2026-09-15 19:32:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 19:42:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 19:52:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 20:02:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 20:12:08	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 20:22:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 20:32:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 20:42:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 20:52:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 21:02:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 21:12:08	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 21:22:09	12.63	7.40	1.20
2026-09-15 21:22:10	12.60	7.34	1.21
2026-09-15 21:32:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 21:42:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 21:52:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 22:02:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 22:12:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 22:22:12	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 22:32:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 22:42:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 22:52:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 23:02:08	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 23:12:13	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 23:22:09	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 23:32:08	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 23:42:10	12.61	7.37	1.20
2026-09-15 23:52:08	12.61	7.37	1.20

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Elche	2 : 3	Real Madrid
2026.03.15	Real Madrid	4 : 1	Elche
2025.11.24	Elche	2 : 2	Real Madrid