경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

La Liga Spain · Regular Season - 6

MalagaHOME · 3.75

1 : 32026.09.18 · 종료

VillarrealAWAY · 1.94

HOME · 현재 순위 18위 승점 3 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 19위 승점 2 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.0%

DRAW24.4%

AWAY36.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 32.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +13.4%

VALUE EDGE+13.4%

FAIR ODDS2.56

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 74/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +12.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +11.1%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN +1.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -3.0%p

INJURIES AWAY -7.2%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Malaga분석 지표Villarreal

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

1.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

4.3일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.2 / 15

예측 분리도1.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승23.1%표본 52경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승42.4%현재 이동 +4.2%

OPEN → NOW3.60 → 3.75배당 업데이트 2026-09-17 23:52:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

39.0%

DRAW

24.4%

AWAY

36.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Malaga

D · 1-1D · 0-0L · 4-0D · 1-1L · 2-0

Villarreal

L · 1-2L · 3-2L · 2-3L · 1-0D · 2-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.70

→

CURRENT3.72

+0.63%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.95

→

CURRENT3.81

-3.54%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.98

→

CURRENT1.94

-2.08%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-17 11:52:10	3.70	3.95	1.98
2026-09-17 12:02:09	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 12:12:07	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 12:22:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 12:32:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 12:42:07	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 12:52:07	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 13:02:09	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 13:12:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 13:22:10	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 13:32:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 13:42:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 13:52:09	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 14:02:07	3.55	3.65	1.95
2026-09-17 14:02:08	3.60	3.80	1.97
2026-09-17 14:12:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 14:22:10	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 14:32:09	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 14:42:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 14:52:09	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 15:02:09	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 15:12:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 15:22:09	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 15:32:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 15:42:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 15:52:09	3.62	3.75	1.96
2026-09-17 15:52:10	3.56	3.78	1.98
2026-09-17 16:02:07	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 16:12:08	3.59	3.77	1.97
2026-09-17 16:22:09	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 16:32:10	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 16:42:07	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 16:52:10	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 17:02:09	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 17:12:07	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 17:22:09	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 17:32:09	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 17:42:08	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 17:52:09	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 18:02:08	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 18:12:08	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 18:22:09	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 18:32:10	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 18:42:08	3.61	3.75	1.96
2026-09-17 18:42:09	3.57	3.79	1.99
2026-09-17 18:52:10	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 19:02:08	3.58	3.69	1.96
2026-09-17 19:02:09	3.60	3.81	1.98
2026-09-17 19:12:09	3.59	3.77	1.98
2026-09-17 19:22:09	3.65	3.68	1.91
2026-09-17 19:22:10	3.73	3.82	1.95
2026-09-17 19:32:09	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 19:42:09	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 19:52:09	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 20:02:08	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 20:12:08	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 20:22:09	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 20:32:08	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 20:42:09	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 20:52:08	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 21:02:09	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 21:12:08	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 21:22:08	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 21:32:09	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 21:42:08	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 21:52:10	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 22:02:08	3.65	3.68	1.91
2026-09-17 22:02:09	3.73	3.82	1.95
2026-09-17 22:12:09	3.72	3.78	1.94
2026-09-17 22:22:11	3.72	3.81	1.94
2026-09-17 22:32:08	3.72	3.81	1.94
2026-09-17 22:42:11	3.72	3.81	1.94
2026-09-17 22:52:11	3.69	3.77	1.93
2026-09-17 22:52:12	3.83	3.95	1.97
2026-09-17 23:02:10	3.72	3.81	1.94
2026-09-17 23:12:10	3.72	3.81	1.94
2026-09-17 23:22:09	3.72	3.81	1.94
2026-09-17 23:32:13	3.72	3.81	1.94
2026-09-17 23:42:12	3.72	3.81	1.94
2026-09-17 23:52:11	3.72	3.81	1.94

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.18	Malaga	1 : 3	Villarreal