LIVE 19 오늘 1,065경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
La Liga Spain · Regular Season - 5
Real MadridHOME · 1.14
4 : 12026.09.13 · 종료
Rayo VallecanoAWAY · 18.74
HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 9 · 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 4 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME90.2%
DRAW6.7%
AWAY3.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 69.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +5.8%
VALUE EDGE+5.8%
FAIR ODDS1.11
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +59.3%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +50.0%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +15.5%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +14.0%p
INJURIES HOME +3.6%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE
Real Madrid분석 지표Rayo Vallecano
75.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%
2.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58
0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83
80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.1일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도9.9 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME84.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승45.6%현재 이동 +1.3%
OPEN → NOW1.13 → 1.14배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:44:15

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
90.2%
DRAW
6.7%
AWAY
3.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Real Madrid
W · 2-1L · 1-0W · 4-0W · 4-1W · 1-2
Rayo Vallecano
W · 3-2L · 5-2D · 1-1L · 2-1L · 3-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+30.0%+15.0%0.0%-15.0%-30.0%09/11 12:1509/12 07:0209/12 13:4309/12 19:0609/12 23:44HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:16HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 00:22:24HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-12 00:52:23HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-12 01:22:20HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-12 01:52:23HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-12 02:22:23HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-12 03:02:20HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-12 03:42:20HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 04:22:24HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 05:02:23HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 05:42:21HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 06:22:25HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 07:02:21HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 07:42:25HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 08:22:26HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 09:02:26HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-12 09:42:25HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-12 10:22:54HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-12 11:03:32HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-09-12 11:43:01HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-12 11:43:02HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-12 12:23:14HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-12 13:03:57HOME · 배당 1.11 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 13:43:36HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 13:43:37HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-12 14:23:44HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 -0.69% · 2026-09-12 15:03:06HOME · 배당 1.11 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 15:43:29HOME · 배당 1.12 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 15:43:30HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.89% · 2026-09-12 16:24:49HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.89% · 2026-09-12 17:04:41HOME · 배당 1.14 · 변동 +1.48% · 2026-09-12 17:44:27HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.82% · 2026-09-12 17:44:28HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.89% · 2026-09-12 18:24:46HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.21% · 2026-09-12 19:06:10HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 +3.26% · 2026-09-12 19:06:11HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-12 19:45:06HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 +3.26% · 2026-09-12 19:45:07HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.24% · 2026-09-12 20:24:39HOME · 배당 1.14 · 변동 +1.71% · 2026-09-12 20:24:40HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-12 21:03:37HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.97% · 2026-09-12 21:03:38HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.89% · 2026-09-12 21:44:14HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-12 22:25:09HOME · 배당 1.15 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-09-12 22:25:10HOME · 배당 1.14 · 변동 +1.48% · 2026-09-12 23:04:00HOME · 배당 1.13 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-09-12 23:44:14HOME · 배당 1.16 · 변동 +2.97% · 2026-09-12 23:44:15DRAW · 배당 9.20 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:16DRAW · 배당 9.63 · 변동 +4.73% · 2026-09-12 00:22:24DRAW · 배당 9.67 · 변동 +5.09% · 2026-09-12 00:52:23DRAW · 배당 9.67 · 변동 +5.09% · 2026-09-12 01:22:20DRAW · 배당 9.67 · 변동 +5.09% · 2026-09-12 01:52:23DRAW · 배당 9.67 · 변동 +5.09% · 2026-09-12 02:22:23DRAW · 배당 9.67 · 변동 +5.09% · 2026-09-12 03:02:20DRAW · 배당 9.67 · 변동 +5.09% · 2026-09-12 03:42:20DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 04:22:24DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 05:02:23DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 05:42:21DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 06:22:25DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 07:02:21DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 07:42:25DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 08:22:26DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 09:02:26DRAW · 배당 9.64 · 변동 +4.80% · 2026-09-12 09:42:25DRAW · 배당 9.61 · 변동 +4.43% · 2026-09-12 10:22:54DRAW · 배당 9.61 · 변동 +4.43% · 2026-09-12 11:03:32DRAW · 배당 9.53 · 변동 +3.55% · 2026-09-12 11:43:01DRAW · 배당 9.67 · 변동 +5.13% · 2026-09-12 11:43:02DRAW · 배당 9.61 · 변동 +4.43% · 2026-09-12 12:23:14DRAW · 배당 9.61 · 변동 +4.43% · 2026-09-12 13:03:57DRAW · 배당 9.77 · 변동 +6.16% · 2026-09-12 13:43:36DRAW · 배당 9.29 · 변동 +0.96% · 2026-09-12 13:43:37DRAW · 배당 9.61 · 변동 +4.43% · 2026-09-12 14:23:44DRAW · 배당 9.61 · 변동 +4.43% · 2026-09-12 15:03:06DRAW · 배당 9.77 · 변동 +6.16% · 2026-09-12 15:43:29DRAW · 배당 9.29 · 변동 +0.96% · 2026-09-12 15:43:30DRAW · 배당 9.09 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-12 16:24:49DRAW · 배당 9.09 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-12 17:04:41DRAW · 배당 8.50 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-12 17:44:27DRAW · 배당 9.16 · 변동 -0.40% · 2026-09-12 17:44:28DRAW · 배당 9.09 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-12 18:24:46DRAW · 배당 9.12 · 변동 -0.85% · 2026-09-12 19:06:10DRAW · 배당 8.98 · 변동 -2.43% · 2026-09-12 19:06:11DRAW · 배당 9.16 · 변동 -0.40% · 2026-09-12 19:45:06DRAW · 배당 8.50 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-12 19:45:07DRAW · 배당 9.20 · 변동 +0.02% · 2026-09-12 20:24:39DRAW · 배당 8.95 · 변동 -2.73% · 2026-09-12 20:24:40DRAW · 배당 8.50 · 변동 -7.59% · 2026-09-12 21:03:37DRAW · 배당 9.26 · 변동 +0.62% · 2026-09-12 21:03:38DRAW · 배당 9.09 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-12 21:44:14DRAW · 배당 9.04 · 변동 -1.72% · 2026-09-12 22:25:09DRAW · 배당 8.73 · 변동 -5.12% · 2026-09-12 22:25:10DRAW · 배당 8.90 · 변동 -3.23% · 2026-09-12 23:04:00DRAW · 배당 9.12 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-09-12 23:44:14DRAW · 배당 8.47 · 변동 -7.92% · 2026-09-12 23:44:15AWAY · 배당 20.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:16AWAY · 배당 21.59 · 변동 +7.19% · 2026-09-12 00:22:24AWAY · 배당 21.42 · 변동 +6.36% · 2026-09-12 00:52:23AWAY · 배당 21.42 · 변동 +6.36% · 2026-09-12 01:22:20AWAY · 배당 21.42 · 변동 +6.36% · 2026-09-12 01:52:23AWAY · 배당 21.42 · 변동 +6.36% · 2026-09-12 02:22:23AWAY · 배당 21.42 · 변동 +6.36% · 2026-09-12 03:02:20AWAY · 배당 21.42 · 변동 +6.36% · 2026-09-12 03:42:20AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 04:22:24AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 05:02:23AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 05:42:21AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 06:22:25AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 07:02:21AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 07:42:25AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 08:22:26AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 09:02:26AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 09:42:25AWAY · 배당 20.85 · 변동 +3.54% · 2026-09-12 10:22:54AWAY · 배당 20.85 · 변동 +3.54% · 2026-09-12 11:03:32AWAY · 배당 21.00 · 변동 +4.28% · 2026-09-12 11:43:01AWAY · 배당 20.73 · 변동 +2.96% · 2026-09-12 11:43:02AWAY · 배당 20.85 · 변동 +3.54% · 2026-09-12 12:23:14AWAY · 배당 20.85 · 변동 +3.54% · 2026-09-12 13:03:57AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 13:43:36AWAY · 배당 19.67 · 변동 -2.34% · 2026-09-12 13:43:37AWAY · 배당 20.85 · 변동 +3.54% · 2026-09-12 14:23:44AWAY · 배당 20.85 · 변동 +3.54% · 2026-09-12 15:03:06AWAY · 배당 21.45 · 변동 +6.49% · 2026-09-12 15:43:29AWAY · 배당 19.67 · 변동 -2.34% · 2026-09-12 15:43:30AWAY · 배당 18.52 · 변동 -8.04% · 2026-09-12 16:24:49AWAY · 배당 18.52 · 변동 -8.04% · 2026-09-12 17:04:41AWAY · 배당 15.00 · 변동 -25.52% · 2026-09-12 17:44:27AWAY · 배당 18.96 · 변동 -5.86% · 2026-09-12 17:44:28AWAY · 배당 18.52 · 변동 -8.04% · 2026-09-12 18:24:46AWAY · 배당 17.81 · 변동 -11.56% · 2026-09-12 19:06:10AWAY · 배당 21.00 · 변동 +4.28% · 2026-09-12 19:06:11AWAY · 배당 18.08 · 변동 -10.20% · 2026-09-12 19:45:06AWAY · 배당 22.00 · 변동 +9.24% · 2026-09-12 19:45:07AWAY · 배당 18.55 · 변동 -7.89% · 2026-09-12 20:24:39AWAY · 배당 18.48 · 변동 -8.23% · 2026-09-12 20:24:40AWAY · 배당 16.00 · 변동 -20.55% · 2026-09-12 21:03:37AWAY · 배당 19.24 · 변동 -4.47% · 2026-09-12 21:03:38AWAY · 배당 18.52 · 변동 -8.04% · 2026-09-12 21:44:14AWAY · 배당 18.00 · 변동 -10.62% · 2026-09-12 22:25:09AWAY · 배당 17.69 · 변동 -12.18% · 2026-09-12 22:25:10AWAY · 배당 17.86 · 변동 -11.31% · 2026-09-12 23:04:00AWAY · 배당 18.12 · 변동 -10.01% · 2026-09-12 23:44:14AWAY · 배당 17.33 · 변동 -13.93% · 2026-09-12 23:44:15
HOME48 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.12
→
CURRENT1.16
+2.97%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW48 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN9.20
→
CURRENT8.47
-7.92%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY48 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN20.14
→
CURRENT17.33
-13.93%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-11 12:15:161.129.2020.14
2026-09-12 00:22:241.129.6321.59
2026-09-12 00:52:231.129.6721.42
2026-09-12 01:22:201.129.6721.42
2026-09-12 01:52:231.129.6721.42
2026-09-12 02:22:231.129.6721.42
2026-09-12 03:02:201.129.6721.42
2026-09-12 03:42:201.129.6721.42
2026-09-12 04:22:241.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 05:02:231.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 05:42:211.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 06:22:251.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 07:02:211.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 07:42:251.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 08:22:261.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 09:02:261.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 09:42:251.129.6421.45
2026-09-12 10:22:541.129.6120.85
2026-09-12 11:03:321.129.6120.85
2026-09-12 11:43:011.129.5321.00
2026-09-12 11:43:021.129.6720.73
2026-09-12 12:23:141.129.6120.85
2026-09-12 13:03:571.129.6120.85
2026-09-12 13:43:361.119.7721.45
2026-09-12 13:43:371.129.2919.67
2026-09-12 14:23:441.129.6120.85
2026-09-12 15:03:061.129.6120.85
2026-09-12 15:43:291.119.7721.45
2026-09-12 15:43:301.129.2919.67
2026-09-12 16:24:491.139.0918.52
2026-09-12 17:04:411.139.0918.52
2026-09-12 17:44:271.148.5015.00
2026-09-12 17:44:281.139.1618.96
2026-09-12 18:24:461.139.0918.52
2026-09-12 19:06:101.139.1217.81
2026-09-12 19:06:111.168.9821.00
2026-09-12 19:45:061.139.1618.08
2026-09-12 19:45:071.168.5022.00
2026-09-12 20:24:391.139.2018.55
2026-09-12 20:24:401.148.9518.48
2026-09-12 21:03:371.138.5016.00
2026-09-12 21:03:381.139.2619.24
2026-09-12 21:44:141.139.0918.52
2026-09-12 22:25:091.139.0418.00
2026-09-12 22:25:101.158.7317.69
2026-09-12 23:04:001.148.9017.86
2026-09-12 23:44:141.139.1218.12
2026-09-12 23:44:151.168.4717.33

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.13Real Madrid4 : 1Rayo Vallecano
2026.02.01Real Madrid2 : 1Rayo Vallecano
2025.11.10Rayo Vallecano0 : 0Real Madrid
2025.03.10Real Madrid2 : 1Rayo Vallecano
2024.12.15Rayo Vallecano3 : 3Real Madrid