경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

La Liga Spain · Regular Season - 4

AlavesHOME · 2.32

5 : 22026.09.07 · 종료

OsasunaAWAY · 3.46

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 7 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 7 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.8%

DRAW27.2%

AWAY29.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +2.2%

VALUE EDGE+2.2%

FAIR ODDS3.34

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 70/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +18.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +13.9%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN +1.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -2.4%p

INJURIES EVEN -0.1%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Alaves분석 지표Osasuna

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

0.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

42.9% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

8.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.2 / 15

예측 분리도5.5 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME41.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승30.4%표본 23경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.1%현재 이동 +1.1%

OPEN → NOW2.29 → 2.32배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:52:36

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

42.8%

DRAW

27.2%

AWAY

29.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Alaves

W · 1-0D · 1-1W · 3-0D · 1-1W · 3-0

Osasuna

W · 1-0W · 1-2D · 0-0L · 0-2L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.27

→

CURRENT2.31

+1.51%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.07

→

CURRENT3.11

+1.56%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.46

→

CURRENT3.48

+0.62%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:45	2.27	3.07	3.46
2026-09-05 06:15:02	2.27	3.09	3.52
2026-09-05 18:15:23	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 00:12:24	2.25	3.05	3.45
2026-09-06 00:12:25	2.30	3.13	3.59
2026-09-06 00:42:39	2.25	3.00	3.40
2026-09-06 00:42:40	2.29	3.12	3.57
2026-09-06 00:42:45	2.27	3.08	3.49
2026-09-06 00:42:46	2.30	3.12	3.60
2026-09-06 01:12:15	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 01:12:16	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 01:42:13	2.25	3.05	3.45
2026-09-06 01:42:14	2.30	3.13	3.59
2026-09-06 02:12:08	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 02:42:11	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 03:12:09	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 04:12:13	2.25	3.05	3.45
2026-09-06 04:12:14	2.30	3.13	3.59
2026-09-06 04:42:13	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 05:12:18	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 05:42:43	2.27	3.08	3.53
2026-09-06 05:42:44	2.35	3.19	3.62
2026-09-06 06:12:12	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 06:42:44	2.25	3.05	3.45
2026-09-06 06:42:45	2.30	3.13	3.59
2026-09-06 07:12:37	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 07:42:44	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 08:12:27	2.27	3.08	3.49
2026-09-06 08:12:28	2.30	3.12	3.60
2026-09-06 08:42:41	2.27	3.09	3.49
2026-09-06 08:42:42	2.32	3.13	3.65
2026-09-06 09:12:17	2.27	3.09	3.49
2026-09-06 09:12:18	2.32	3.13	3.65
2026-09-06 09:42:36	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 10:12:21	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 10:42:43	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 11:12:43	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 11:42:41	2.27	3.09	3.49
2026-09-06 11:42:42	2.32	3.13	3.65
2026-09-06 12:12:11	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 12:42:52	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 13:12:17	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 13:42:26	2.27	3.08	3.49
2026-09-06 13:42:27	2.30	3.12	3.60
2026-09-06 14:12:38	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 14:42:44	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 15:12:43	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 15:42:19	2.28	3.10	3.54
2026-09-06 16:12:40	2.29	3.11	3.50
2026-09-06 16:42:52	2.27	3.08	3.48
2026-09-06 16:42:53	2.31	3.14	3.52
2026-09-06 17:12:52	2.29	3.11	3.50
2026-09-06 17:42:46	2.29	3.11	3.50
2026-09-06 18:12:45	2.28	3.10	3.48
2026-09-06 18:12:46	2.36	3.19	3.60
2026-09-06 18:43:13	2.25	3.05	3.45
2026-09-06 18:43:14	2.32	3.14	3.52
2026-09-06 20:03:32	2.28	3.09	3.43
2026-09-06 20:03:33	2.36	3.16	3.58
2026-09-06 20:42:55	2.31	3.11	3.48
2026-09-06 21:22:41	2.31	3.11	3.48
2026-09-06 21:52:42	2.31	3.11	3.48
2026-09-06 22:23:01	2.29	3.10	3.46
2026-09-06 22:23:02	2.37	3.19	3.58
2026-09-06 22:52:30	2.31	3.11	3.48
2026-09-06 23:22:44	2.31	3.11	3.48
2026-09-06 23:52:36	2.31	3.11	3.48

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Alaves	5 : 2	Osasuna
2026.04.06	Alaves	2 : 2	Osasuna
2025.12.21	Osasuna	3 : 0	Alaves
2025.05.25	Alaves	1 : 1	Osasuna
2024.12.09	Osasuna	2 : 2	Alaves