경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

La Liga Spain · Regular Season - 6

Real SociedadHOME · 1.88

0 : 02026.09.04 · 종료

Celta VigoAWAY · 4.20

HOME · 현재 순위 13위 승점 3 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 17위 승점 1 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.2%

DRAW22.1%

AWAY48.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +25.9%

VALUE EDGE+25.9%

FAIR ODDS2.06

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 99/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN -2.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +2.8%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +4.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -10.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Real Sociedad분석 지표Celta Vigo

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

2.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

5.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.0 / 15

예측 분리도8.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME50.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승52.7%표본 74경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.6%현재 이동 -5.8%

OPEN → NOW1.99 → 1.88배당 업데이트 2026-09-03 23:52:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

29.2%

DRAW

22.1%

AWAY

48.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Real Sociedad

W · 2-1L · 4-1L · 1-0L · 3-1L · 2-1

Celta Vigo

L · 0-2L · 1-2D · 0-0D · 1-1W · 1-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.93

→

CURRENT1.89

-2.02%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.56

→

CURRENT3.62

+1.77%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.94

→

CURRENT4.11

+4.37%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-03 12:42:09	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 12:52:09	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 13:02:10	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 13:12:09	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 13:22:08	1.93	3.56	3.91
2026-09-03 13:22:09	1.93	3.56	3.96
2026-09-03 13:32:09	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 13:42:09	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 13:52:10	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 14:02:09	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 14:02:10	1.97	3.60	3.90
2026-09-03 14:12:08	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 14:22:10	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 14:32:08	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 14:42:08	1.93	3.45	3.83
2026-09-03 14:42:09	1.93	3.58	3.96
2026-09-03 14:52:10	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 15:02:09	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 15:12:09	1.93	3.56	3.94
2026-09-03 15:22:10	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 15:32:10	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 15:42:08	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 15:52:10	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 16:02:10	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 16:12:07	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 16:22:09	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 16:32:09	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 16:42:09	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 16:52:09	1.90	3.58	4.05
2026-09-03 16:52:10	1.93	3.56	3.96
2026-09-03 17:02:09	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 17:12:09	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 17:22:09	1.90	3.58	4.06
2026-09-03 17:22:10	1.94	3.55	3.94
2026-09-03 17:32:10	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 17:42:12	1.90	3.55	4.01
2026-09-03 17:42:13	1.96	3.63	4.01
2026-09-03 17:52:09	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 18:02:09	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 18:12:09	1.91	3.57	4.01
2026-09-03 18:22:08	1.91	3.58	3.99
2026-09-03 18:22:09	1.91	3.59	4.03
2026-09-03 18:32:10	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 18:42:08	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 18:52:11	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 19:02:09	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 19:12:10	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 19:22:10	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 19:32:09	1.90	3.58	4.01
2026-09-03 19:32:10	1.91	3.59	4.02
2026-09-03 19:42:08	1.91	3.58	3.99
2026-09-03 19:42:09	1.91	3.59	4.03
2026-09-03 19:52:10	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 20:02:09	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 20:12:08	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 20:22:09	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 20:32:09	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 20:42:08	1.91	3.45	3.88
2026-09-03 20:42:09	1.91	3.61	4.04
2026-09-03 20:52:10	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 21:02:09	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 21:12:09	1.91	3.59	4.01
2026-09-03 21:22:10	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 21:32:09	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 21:42:09	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 21:52:09	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 22:02:09	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 22:12:10	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 22:22:11	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 22:32:12	1.85	3.58	4.10
2026-09-03 22:32:13	1.90	3.61	4.10
2026-09-03 22:52:10	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 23:02:13	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 23:12:11	1.86	3.64	4.18
2026-09-03 23:12:12	1.93	3.53	3.94
2026-09-03 23:22:16	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 23:32:10	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 23:42:08	1.88	3.60	4.10
2026-09-03 23:52:10	1.85	3.50	4.05
2026-09-03 23:52:11	1.89	3.62	4.11

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.04	Real Sociedad	0 : 0	Celta Vigo
2026.01.26	Real Sociedad	3 : 1	Celta Vigo
2025.10.19	Celta Vigo	1 : 1	Real Sociedad
2025.05.14	Real Sociedad	0 : 1	Celta Vigo
2024.12.22	Celta Vigo	2 : 0	Real Sociedad