경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Bundesliga Austria · Regular Season - 7

Red Bull SalzburgHOME · 1.57

3 : 02026.09.21 · 종료

Sturm GrazAWAY · 4.75

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 14 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 11 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.6%

DRAW22.7%

AWAY45.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 39.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +26.0%

VALUE EDGE+26.0%

FAIR ODDS2.19

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 96/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +14.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +2.8%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +8.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -13.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Red Bull Salzburg분석 지표Sturm Graz

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

0.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

90/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도6.9 / 15

예측 분리도6.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME59.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승61.2%표본 134경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.1%현재 이동 -4.3%

OPEN → NOW1.64 → 1.57배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:33:27

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

31.6%

DRAW

22.7%

AWAY

45.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Red Bull Salzburg

W · 0-1D · 1-1W · 0-3W · 5-1W · 4-1

Sturm Graz

D · 0-0W · 2-1W · 1-4L · 3-1D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME64 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.66

→

CURRENT1.57

-5.42%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW64 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.10

→

CURRENT4.50

+9.76%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY64 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.27

→

CURRENT4.65

+9.03%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-19 00:15:36	1.66	4.10	4.27
2026-09-19 00:15:37	1.63	4.24	4.36
2026-09-20 00:22:07	1.61	4.30	4.56
2026-09-20 00:22:08	1.61	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 00:52:07	1.61	4.22	4.52
2026-09-20 00:52:08	1.61	4.39	4.61
2026-09-20 01:22:06	1.61	4.30	4.56
2026-09-20 01:22:07	1.61	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 01:52:36	1.60	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 01:52:37	1.61	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 02:22:35	1.61	4.22	4.52
2026-09-20 02:22:36	1.60	4.43	4.67
2026-09-20 02:52:41	1.60	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 02:52:42	1.61	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 03:22:56	1.60	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 03:22:57	1.61	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 03:52:26	1.62	4.00	4.40
2026-09-20 03:52:27	1.60	4.39	4.63
2026-09-20 04:22:40	1.61	4.33	4.59
2026-09-20 04:52:34	1.60	4.31	4.52
2026-09-20 05:22:29	1.60	4.30	4.51
2026-09-20 05:22:30	1.62	4.34	4.55
2026-09-20 05:52:47	1.60	4.31	4.52
2026-09-20 06:22:43	1.61	4.29	4.51
2026-09-20 06:22:44	1.60	4.33	4.52
2026-09-20 06:52:46	1.60	4.31	4.53
2026-09-20 06:52:47	1.61	4.31	4.50
2026-09-20 07:23:04	1.62	4.00	4.40
2026-09-20 07:23:05	1.60	4.36	4.53
2026-09-20 07:23:06	1.62	4.34	4.55
2026-09-20 08:02:18	1.60	4.31	4.53
2026-09-20 08:42:26	1.60	4.31	4.53
2026-09-20 09:22:32	1.61	4.22	4.52
2026-09-20 09:22:33	1.60	4.36	4.54
2026-09-20 10:02:16	1.60	4.31	4.53
2026-09-20 10:42:26	1.61	4.32	4.55
2026-09-20 10:42:27	1.60	4.22	4.43
2026-09-20 11:22:45	1.61	4.29	4.51
2026-09-20 12:02:13	1.61	4.29	4.51
2026-09-20 12:42:52	1.60	4.28	4.50
2026-09-20 12:42:53	1.62	4.32	4.53
2026-09-20 13:22:23	1.61	4.29	4.51
2026-09-20 14:02:11	1.61	4.29	4.51
2026-09-20 14:42:35	1.61	4.29	4.51
2026-09-20 15:22:21	1.61	4.29	4.51
2026-09-20 15:52:42	1.61	4.29	4.51
2026-09-20 16:22:43	1.61	4.29	4.49
2026-09-20 16:22:44	1.61	4.29	4.53
2026-09-20 16:52:35	1.56	4.45	4.89
2026-09-20 17:23:12	1.56	4.45	4.89
2026-09-20 17:52:52	1.56	4.45	4.89
2026-09-20 18:23:06	1.56	4.45	4.89
2026-09-20 19:03:14	1.55	4.45	4.93
2026-09-20 19:03:15	1.57	4.45	4.83
2026-09-20 19:42:56	1.57	4.45	4.73
2026-09-20 20:22:48	1.57	4.45	4.73
2026-09-20 21:02:51	1.57	4.45	4.73
2026-09-20 21:32:40	1.57	4.45	4.73
2026-09-20 22:02:42	1.57	4.45	4.73
2026-09-20 22:33:09	1.58	4.45	4.71
2026-09-20 23:02:35	1.59	4.35	4.68
2026-09-20 23:02:36	1.57	4.48	4.71
2026-09-20 23:33:26	1.58	4.45	4.71
2026-09-20 23:33:27	1.57	4.50	4.65

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.21	Red Bull Salzburg	3 : 0	Sturm Graz
2026.05.04	Red Bull Salzburg	1 : 1	Sturm Graz
2026.03.21	Sturm Graz	1 : 1	Red Bull Salzburg
2025.11.10	Sturm Graz	1 : 1	Red Bull Salzburg
2025.09.21	Red Bull Salzburg	0 : 2	Sturm Graz
2025.05.10	Sturm Graz	4 : 2	Red Bull Salzburg
2025.04.13	Red Bull Salzburg	1 : 2	Sturm Graz
2025.03.03	Red Bull Salzburg	3 : 1	Sturm Graz
2024.10.07	Sturm Graz	5 : 0	Red Bull Salzburg