경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League England · Regular Season - 5

Manchester CityHOME · 1.34

5 : 32026.09.20 · 종료

SunderlandAWAY · 8.75

HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 12 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 4 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.3%

DRAW16.3%

AWAY11.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 51.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +1.0%

VALUE EDGE+1.0%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +27.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +22.2%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +20.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.1%p

INJURIES HOME +3.6%p

Manchester City분석 지표Sunderland

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME71.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승77.8%표본 9경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승43.6%현재 이동 +3.1%

OPEN → NOW1.30 → 1.34배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:32:28

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

72.3%

DRAW

16.3%

AWAY

11.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Manchester City

W · 5-0W · 0-1W · 0-2W · 1-0W · 1-4

Sunderland

W · 1-0L · 0-2W · 1-0D · 1-1W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME72 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.29

→

CURRENT1.36

+4.87%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW72 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.58

→

CURRENT5.35

-4.20%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY72 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN9.61

→

CURRENT8.90

-7.38%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-19 00:15:31	1.29	5.58	9.61
2026-09-20 00:13:59	1.30	5.65	10.00
2026-09-20 00:44:42	1.30	5.61	9.88
2026-09-20 00:44:43	1.33	5.89	10.60
2026-09-20 01:14:15	1.30	5.51	9.88
2026-09-20 01:14:16	1.32	5.94	10.26
2026-09-20 01:52:11	1.33	5.47	9.09
2026-09-20 02:22:10	1.33	5.39	9.00
2026-09-20 02:22:11	1.35	5.65	9.28
2026-09-20 02:52:11	1.33	5.47	9.09
2026-09-20 03:22:14	1.33	5.35	8.83
2026-09-20 03:22:15	1.33	5.60	9.35
2026-09-20 03:52:09	1.33	5.44	8.98
2026-09-20 03:52:10	1.36	5.64	9.65
2026-09-20 04:22:14	1.33	5.47	9.09
2026-09-20 04:52:09	1.33	5.00	8.50
2026-09-20 04:52:10	1.33	5.43	8.86
2026-09-20 05:22:10	1.33	5.38	8.82
2026-09-20 05:52:17	1.32	5.32	8.68
2026-09-20 05:52:18	1.36	5.62	9.33
2026-09-20 06:22:11	1.32	5.36	9.00
2026-09-20 06:22:12	1.34	5.42	8.60
2026-09-20 06:52:12	1.33	5.33	8.88
2026-09-20 06:52:13	1.33	5.43	8.78
2026-09-20 07:22:19	1.32	5.41	9.00
2026-09-20 07:22:20	1.34	5.33	8.47
2026-09-20 08:02:06	1.33	5.42	8.89
2026-09-20 08:42:10	1.33	5.39	9.00
2026-09-20 08:42:11	1.33	5.45	8.80
2026-09-20 09:22:10	1.33	5.42	8.89
2026-09-20 10:02:05	1.33	5.42	8.89
2026-09-20 10:42:08	1.33	5.21	9.05
2026-09-20 10:42:09	1.33	5.45	8.83
2026-09-20 11:22:14	1.33	5.28	8.90
2026-09-20 11:22:15	1.33	5.38	8.94
2026-09-20 12:02:05	1.33	5.34	8.93
2026-09-20 12:42:15	1.32	5.27	9.14
2026-09-20 12:42:16	1.34	5.44	8.66
2026-09-20 13:22:08	1.33	5.34	8.93
2026-09-20 14:02:05	1.33	5.33	8.87
2026-09-20 14:42:10	1.33	5.27	8.83
2026-09-20 14:42:11	1.33	5.36	8.89
2026-09-20 15:22:07	1.33	5.33	8.87
2026-09-20 15:52:13	1.33	5.00	8.50
2026-09-20 15:52:14	1.33	5.37	8.92
2026-09-20 16:22:13	1.33	5.20	9.00
2026-09-20 16:22:14	1.33	5.43	8.77
2026-09-20 16:52:12	1.34	5.33	8.56
2026-09-20 17:22:23	1.34	5.23	8.43
2026-09-20 17:22:24	1.34	5.38	8.63
2026-09-20 17:52:17	1.34	5.23	8.43
2026-09-20 17:52:18	1.34	5.38	8.63
2026-09-20 18:22:18	1.34	5.23	8.43
2026-09-20 18:22:19	1.34	5.34	8.60
2026-09-20 18:22:20	1.37	5.60	8.75
2026-09-20 19:02:20	1.34	5.23	8.43
2026-09-20 19:02:21	1.34	5.38	8.63
2026-09-20 19:42:16	1.34	5.13	8.00
2026-09-20 19:42:17	1.34	5.32	8.75
2026-09-20 19:42:18	1.38	5.54	8.93
2026-09-20 20:22:16	1.35	5.32	8.62
2026-09-20 21:02:17	1.34	5.13	8.00
2026-09-20 21:02:18	1.35	5.38	8.80
2026-09-20 21:32:13	1.35	5.22	8.33
2026-09-20 21:32:14	1.35	5.38	8.77
2026-09-20 22:02:13	1.34	5.33	8.69
2026-09-20 22:02:14	1.36	5.31	8.49
2026-09-20 22:32:24	1.34	5.26	8.67
2026-09-20 22:32:25	1.38	5.47	9.00
2026-09-20 23:02:13	1.35	5.30	8.74
2026-09-20 23:32:27	1.34	5.27	8.62
2026-09-20 23:32:28	1.36	5.35	8.90

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.20	Manchester City	5 : 3	Sunderland
2026.01.02	Sunderland	0 : 0	Manchester City
2025.12.07	Manchester City	3 : 0	Sunderland