경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League England · Regular Season - 4

LeedsHOME · 2.30

4 : 12026.09.15 · 종료

NewcastleAWAY · 3.16

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 5 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 5 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.9%

DRAW27.7%

AWAY17.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 40.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +13.0%

VALUE EDGE+13.0%

FAIR ODDS1.82

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 99/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +14.4%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN -0.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +8.4%p

INJURIES HOME +3.6%p

Leeds분석 지표Newcastle

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%

5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.5 / 15

예측 분리도11.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME41.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승38.9%표본 90경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.2%현재 이동 -0.9%

OPEN → NOW2.32 → 2.30배당 업데이트 2026-09-14 23:52:17

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

54.9%

DRAW

27.7%

AWAY

17.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Leeds

L · 6-3D · 1-1D · 1-1W · 0-2W · 0-1

Newcastle

W · 0-1D · 2-2W · 0-2W · 3-2D · 2-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.31

→

CURRENT2.28

-1.50%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.49

→

CURRENT3.43

-1.52%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.00

→

CURRENT3.10

+3.36%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-14 13:02:31	2.31	3.49	3.00
2026-09-14 13:02:32	2.33	3.45	2.98
2026-09-14 13:12:22	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 13:22:36	2.30	3.45	2.95
2026-09-14 13:22:37	2.33	3.47	3.00
2026-09-14 13:32:45	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 13:42:14	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 13:52:26	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 14:02:31	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 14:12:16	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 14:22:30	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 14:32:39	2.31	3.45	2.96
2026-09-14 14:32:40	2.35	3.55	3.09
2026-09-14 14:42:26	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 14:52:43	2.31	3.45	2.96
2026-09-14 14:52:44	2.35	3.55	3.09
2026-09-14 15:02:45	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 15:12:13	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 15:22:33	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 15:32:43	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 15:42:17	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 15:52:34	2.30	3.45	2.95
2026-09-14 15:52:35	2.33	3.47	3.00
2026-09-14 16:02:38	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 16:12:13	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 16:22:38	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 16:32:38	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 16:42:13	2.32	3.47	2.98
2026-09-14 16:42:14	2.30	3.50	3.05
2026-09-14 16:52:28	2.32	3.47	2.99
2026-09-14 17:02:30	2.31	3.49	3.00
2026-09-14 17:02:31	2.33	3.45	2.98
2026-09-14 17:12:26	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 17:22:34	2.30	3.46	3.02
2026-09-14 17:22:35	2.32	3.40	3.05
2026-09-14 17:32:59	2.28	3.49	3.04
2026-09-14 17:33:00	2.34	3.40	3.00
2026-09-14 17:42:14	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 17:52:27	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 18:02:47	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 18:12:24	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 18:22:48	2.30	3.46	3.02
2026-09-14 18:22:49	2.32	3.40	3.05
2026-09-14 18:33:37	2.28	3.46	3.06
2026-09-14 18:33:38	2.32	3.44	3.00
2026-09-14 18:42:14	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 18:52:35	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 19:02:39	2.25	3.40	3.05
2026-09-14 19:02:40	2.32	3.46	3.02
2026-09-14 19:12:25	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 19:22:55	2.25	3.30	3.00
2026-09-14 19:22:56	2.31	3.47	3.03
2026-09-14 19:33:30	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 19:42:14	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 19:52:15	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 20:02:13	2.30	3.45	3.03
2026-09-14 20:12:13	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 20:22:15	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 20:32:14	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 20:42:14	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 20:52:15	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 21:02:13	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 21:12:13	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 21:22:14	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 21:32:13	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 21:42:13	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 21:52:15	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 22:02:13	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 22:12:13	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 22:22:29	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 22:32:13	2.23	3.49	3.13
2026-09-14 22:32:14	2.29	3.44	3.09
2026-09-14 22:42:14	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 22:52:16	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 23:02:13	2.26	3.46	3.11
2026-09-14 23:12:15	2.28	3.43	3.10
2026-09-14 23:22:16	2.28	3.43	3.10
2026-09-14 23:32:16	2.28	3.43	3.10
2026-09-14 23:42:15	2.28	3.43	3.10
2026-09-14 23:52:17	2.28	3.43	3.10

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.15	Leeds	4 : 1	Newcastle
2026.01.08	Newcastle	4 : 3	Leeds
2025.08.31	Leeds	0 : 0	Newcastle