경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Premier League
England · Regular Season - 4

Manchester UnitedHOME · 3.10
0 : 12026.09.14 · 종료
Manchester CityAWAY · 2.20

HOME · 현재 순위
13위
승점 4
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 12
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.3%
DRAW20.2%
AWAY53.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME30.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승33.7%표본 86경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.4%현재 이동 -2.5%
OPEN → NOW3.18 → 3.10배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:52:12
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Manchester UnitedW · 4-0D · 2-2W · 5-2L · 2-0L · 2-4
Manchester CityW · 0-2W · 1-0W · 1-4W · 2-1L · 3-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME79 SNAPSHOTS
-2.26%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW79 SNAPSHOTS
-3.16%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY79 SNAPSHOTS
+2.52%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-12 00:15:28 | 3.14 | 3.85 | 2.14 |
| 2026-09-13 00:12:52 | 3.17 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 00:44:51 | 3.16 | 3.83 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 00:44:52 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 01:13:51 | 3.17 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 01:44:24 | 3.17 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 02:13:23 | 3.17 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 02:44:09 | 3.17 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 02:52:05 | 3.18 | 3.86 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-13 02:52:06 | 3.13 | 3.79 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 03:22:07 | 3.15 | 3.80 | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-13 03:22:08 | 3.15 | 3.83 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 03:52:05 | 3.15 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 04:22:04 | 3.15 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 04:52:04 | 3.15 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 05:22:04 | 3.15 | 3.82 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 05:52:04 | 3.21 | 3.86 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-13 05:52:05 | 3.15 | 3.82 | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-13 06:22:08 | 3.15 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-13 06:22:09 | 3.26 | 3.98 | 2.16 |
| 2026-09-13 06:52:09 | 3.17 | 3.85 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-13 06:52:10 | 3.17 | 3.84 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 07:22:08 | 3.16 | 3.83 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 07:22:09 | 3.25 | 3.95 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-13 07:52:04 | 3.17 | 3.84 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 08:22:08 | 3.17 | 3.84 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 08:52:05 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 09:22:05 | 3.17 | 3.81 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-13 09:22:06 | 3.15 | 3.82 | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-13 09:22:09 | 3.13 | 3.78 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 09:22:10 | 3.28 | 3.94 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-13 09:52:06 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 09:52:08 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 10:22:07 | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-13 10:22:08 | 3.16 | 3.84 | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-13 10:22:11 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 10:52:05 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 10:52:08 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 11:22:06 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 11:22:08 | 3.18 | 3.85 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 11:22:09 | 3.13 | 3.74 | 2.14 |
| 2026-09-13 11:52:09 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 12:22:08 | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-13 12:22:09 | 3.17 | 3.83 | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-13 12:52:07 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 13:22:08 | 3.18 | 3.84 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-13 13:22:09 | 3.15 | 3.78 | 2.14 |
| 2026-09-13 13:52:09 | 3.13 | 3.78 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-13 13:52:10 | 3.28 | 3.94 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-13 14:22:11 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 14:52:07 | 3.16 | 3.82 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-13 15:22:09 | 3.07 | 3.75 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-13 16:02:14 | 3.07 | 3.76 | 2.16 |
| 2026-09-13 16:02:15 | 3.08 | 3.75 | 2.19 |
| 2026-09-13 16:42:17 | 3.05 | 3.68 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-13 16:42:18 | 3.08 | 3.77 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-13 17:22:21 | 3.05 | 3.68 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-13 17:22:22 | 3.04 | 3.72 | 2.16 |
| 2026-09-13 17:22:23 | 3.17 | 3.92 | 2.23 |
| 2026-09-13 18:02:04 | 3.09 | 3.75 | 2.16 |
| 2026-09-13 18:02:05 | 3.06 | 3.76 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-13 18:42:26 | 3.05 | 3.68 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-13 18:42:27 | 3.09 | 3.81 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-13 18:42:28 | 3.06 | 3.73 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-13 19:22:22 | 3.09 | 3.75 | 2.16 |
| 2026-09-13 19:22:23 | 3.04 | 3.72 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-13 19:22:24 | 3.15 | 3.90 | 2.22 |
| 2026-09-13 20:02:13 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-13 20:02:14 | 3.08 | 3.77 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-13 20:42:19 | 3.08 | 3.74 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-13 20:42:20 | 3.07 | 3.76 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-13 21:22:17 | 3.07 | 3.73 | 2.19 |
| 2026-09-13 21:52:11 | 3.07 | 3.73 | 2.19 |
| 2026-09-13 22:22:25 | 3.07 | 3.73 | 2.19 |
| 2026-09-13 22:52:16 | 3.05 | 3.74 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-13 22:52:17 | 3.08 | 3.72 | 2.20 |
| 2026-09-13 23:22:24 | 3.06 | 3.75 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-13 23:22:25 | 3.08 | 3.71 | 2.20 |
| 2026-09-13 23:52:12 | 3.07 | 3.73 | 2.19 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.14 | Manchester United | 0 : 1 | Manchester City |
| 2026.01.17 | Manchester United | 2 : 0 | Manchester City |
| 2025.09.15 | Manchester City | 3 : 0 | Manchester United |
| 2025.04.07 | Manchester United | 0 : 0 | Manchester City |
| 2024.12.16 | Manchester City | 1 : 2 | Manchester United |