경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Premier League
England · Regular Season - 4

Aston VillaHOME · 2.25
1 : 22026.09.12 · 종료
Nottingham ForestAWAY · 3.30

HOME · 현재 순위
17위
승점 1
· 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
16위
승점 2
· 3경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME13.8%
DRAW15.0%
AWAY71.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승36.7%표본 79경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.3%현재 이동 -1.1%
OPEN → NOW2.28 → 2.25배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:42:52
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Aston VillaW · 2-3D · 0-0L · 0-1L · 4-0L · 2-1
Nottingham ForestD · 0-0D · 2-2L · 0-2L · 0-1W · 2-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME48 SNAPSHOTS
-0.66%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW48 SNAPSHOTS
-2.63%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY48 SNAPSHOTS
+1.15%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-11 00:15:31 | 2.27 | 3.43 | 3.19 |
| 2026-09-12 00:22:02 | 2.29 | 3.42 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 00:52:02 | 2.29 | 3.42 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 01:22:02 | 2.29 | 3.42 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 01:52:04 | 2.29 | 3.42 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 02:22:02 | 2.29 | 3.42 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 04:22:05 | 2.29 | 3.41 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 05:02:03 | 2.29 | 3.41 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 05:42:03 | 2.29 | 3.41 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 06:22:05 | 2.29 | 3.41 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 08:22:06 | 2.29 | 3.35 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-12 09:02:05 | 2.29 | 3.35 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-12 09:42:05 | 2.29 | 3.35 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-12 10:22:10 | 2.29 | 3.35 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-12 11:02:19 | 2.27 | 3.36 | 3.19 |
| 2026-09-12 11:02:20 | 2.31 | 3.35 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-12 12:22:22 | 2.29 | 3.33 | 3.17 |
| 2026-09-12 13:02:35 | 2.29 | 3.33 | 3.17 |
| 2026-09-12 13:42:25 | 2.29 | 3.33 | 3.17 |
| 2026-09-12 13:42:26 | 2.27 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-12 14:22:27 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-12 14:22:28 | 2.29 | 3.34 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 15:02:22 | 2.29 | 3.33 | 3.17 |
| 2026-09-12 15:42:29 | 2.29 | 3.33 | 3.17 |
| 2026-09-12 16:23:04 | 2.28 | 3.31 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-12 16:23:05 | 2.32 | 3.42 | 3.24 |
| 2026-09-12 17:03:11 | 2.28 | 3.32 | 3.23 |
| 2026-09-12 17:03:12 | 2.29 | 3.34 | 3.13 |
| 2026-09-12 17:42:59 | 2.29 | 3.33 | 3.17 |
| 2026-09-12 17:43:00 | 2.27 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-12 18:23:06 | 2.28 | 3.33 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-12 19:03:48 | 2.29 | 3.31 | 3.24 |
| 2026-09-12 19:03:49 | 2.26 | 3.30 | 3.13 |
| 2026-09-12 19:03:50 | 2.32 | 3.41 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-12 19:43:15 | 2.28 | 3.28 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-12 19:43:16 | 2.29 | 3.35 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-12 19:43:17 | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| 2026-09-12 20:23:01 | 2.28 | 3.33 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-12 20:23:02 | 2.29 | 3.33 | 3.19 |
| 2026-09-12 21:02:38 | 2.24 | 3.37 | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-12 21:42:50 | 2.23 | 3.36 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-12 21:42:51 | 2.28 | 3.42 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-12 22:23:12 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-12 22:23:13 | 2.24 | 3.39 | 3.28 |
| 2026-09-12 23:02:44 | 2.24 | 3.37 | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-12 23:02:45 | 2.25 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-12 23:42:51 | 2.23 | 3.39 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-12 23:42:52 | 2.25 | 3.34 | 3.23 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.12 | Aston Villa | 1 : 2 | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026.04.12 | Nottingham Forest | 1 : 1 | Aston Villa |
| 2026.01.03 | Aston Villa | 3 : 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 2025.04.06 | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 2024.12.15 | Nottingham Forest | 2 : 1 | Aston Villa |