경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League England · Regular Season - 3

ArsenalHOME · 1.73

2 : 12026.09.07 · 종료

ChelseaAWAY · 5.00

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 6 · 2경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 6 · 2경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.9%

DRAW18.0%

AWAY15.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 46.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +11.1%

VALUE EDGE+11.1%

FAIR ODDS1.50

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +25.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +27.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN +0.9%p

INJURIES EVEN -1.8%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE

Arsenal분석 지표Chelsea

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.67

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

5.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.5 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도10.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME55.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승58.9%표본 56경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.4%현재 이동 +1.2%

OPEN → NOW1.71 → 1.73배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:52:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

66.9%

DRAW

18.0%

AWAY

15.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Arsenal

W · 0-1W · 3-0W · 3-0D · 1-1L · 2-3

Chelsea

W · 4-3W · 2-0W · 2-3W · 3-1D · 3-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.72

→

CURRENT1.72

+0.49%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.86

→

CURRENT3.85

-0.22%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.98

→

CURRENT4.92

-1.24%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 12:15:39	1.72	3.86	4.98
2026-09-06 00:03:26	1.72	3.83	4.73
2026-09-06 00:03:27	1.73	4.02	4.77
2026-09-06 00:34:14	1.70	3.78	4.68
2026-09-06 00:34:15	1.74	4.00	4.79
2026-09-06 01:02:31	1.73	3.92	4.75
2026-09-06 01:33:19	1.72	3.90	4.72
2026-09-06 01:33:20	1.77	4.06	4.92
2026-09-06 02:12:02	1.72	3.94	4.84
2026-09-06 02:42:03	1.71	3.88	4.83
2026-09-06 02:42:04	1.72	4.00	4.85
2026-09-06 03:12:02	1.72	3.94	4.84
2026-09-06 03:12:03	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 03:42:04	1.72	3.94	4.84
2026-09-06 03:42:05	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 04:12:04	1.72	3.94	4.84
2026-09-06 04:12:05	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 04:42:03	1.72	3.94	4.84
2026-09-06 04:42:04	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 05:12:06	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 05:42:10	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 06:12:04	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 06:42:10	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 07:12:09	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 07:42:09	1.71	3.88	4.85
2026-09-06 07:42:10	1.71	4.01	4.91
2026-09-06 08:12:07	1.71	3.95	4.88
2026-09-06 08:42:10	1.73	3.75	4.60
2026-09-06 08:42:11	1.71	3.99	4.93
2026-09-06 09:12:05	1.71	3.98	4.90
2026-09-06 09:42:09	1.71	3.98	4.90
2026-09-06 10:12:06	1.71	3.98	4.90
2026-09-06 10:42:08	1.70	3.83	4.80
2026-09-06 10:42:09	1.71	4.06	4.95
2026-09-06 11:12:10	1.70	3.83	4.80
2026-09-06 11:12:11	1.71	4.06	4.95
2026-09-06 11:42:10	1.71	3.98	4.90
2026-09-06 12:12:03	1.70	3.99	4.96
2026-09-06 12:42:12	1.69	3.92	4.92
2026-09-06 12:42:13	1.70	4.07	5.00
2026-09-06 13:12:05	1.70	3.99	4.96
2026-09-06 13:42:08	1.70	3.99	4.96
2026-09-06 14:12:09	1.70	3.99	4.96
2026-09-06 14:42:10	1.70	3.99	4.96
2026-09-06 15:12:10	1.72	3.82	4.97
2026-09-06 15:42:07	1.72	3.82	4.97
2026-09-06 16:12:10	1.72	3.82	4.97
2026-09-06 16:42:12	1.72	3.82	4.97
2026-09-06 17:12:13	1.72	3.82	4.97
2026-09-06 17:42:11	1.71	3.80	4.90
2026-09-06 17:42:12	1.75	3.88	5.12
2026-09-06 18:12:11	1.71	3.76	4.95
2026-09-06 18:12:12	1.73	3.89	5.01
2026-09-06 18:42:23	1.70	3.70	4.80
2026-09-06 18:42:24	1.73	3.85	5.02
2026-09-06 19:22:20	1.72	3.82	4.98
2026-09-06 20:02:25	1.70	3.70	4.80
2026-09-06 20:02:26	1.73	3.85	5.02
2026-09-06 20:42:18	1.71	3.80	4.91
2026-09-06 20:42:19	1.75	3.88	5.12
2026-09-06 21:22:11	1.72	3.78	4.95
2026-09-06 21:22:12	1.78	3.88	5.13
2026-09-06 21:52:11	1.72	3.77	4.87
2026-09-06 21:52:12	1.74	3.82	5.10
2026-09-06 22:22:16	1.73	3.80	4.98
2026-09-06 22:52:10	1.73	3.80	4.98
2026-09-06 23:22:14	1.73	3.80	4.98
2026-09-06 23:52:11	1.72	3.85	4.92

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Arsenal	2 : 1	Chelsea
2026.03.02	Arsenal	2 : 1	Chelsea
2025.12.01	Chelsea	1 : 1	Arsenal
2025.03.16	Arsenal	1 : 0	Chelsea
2024.11.11	Chelsea	1 : 1	Arsenal