경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Premier League
England · Regular Season - 2

Aston VillaHOME · 6.34
0 : 12026.09.01 · 종료
ArsenalAWAY · 1.53

HOME · 현재 순위
17위
승점 0
· 1경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
9위
승점 3
· 1경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME3.6%
DRAW7.6%
AWAY88.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME15.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승0.0%표본 3경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.8%현재 이동 -0.9%
OPEN → NOW6.40 → 6.34배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:40
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Aston VillaL · 4-0L · 2-1L · 2-1L · 2-1W · 1-3
ArsenalW · 3-0W · 3-0D · 1-1L · 2-3L · 1-3
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
-1.01%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
+2.15%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
+1.02%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-08-31 07:02:42 | 6.40 | 4.30 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 07:12:39 | 6.16 | 4.27 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 07:23:10 | 6.23 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 07:23:11 | 6.08 | 4.29 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 07:32:58 | 6.15 | 4.25 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 07:32:59 | 6.20 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 07:42:16 | 6.16 | 4.27 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 08:02:35 | 6.23 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 08:02:36 | 6.13 | 4.28 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 08:23:15 | 6.19 | 4.24 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 08:23:16 | 6.03 | 4.40 | 1.55 |
| 2026-08-31 08:42:39 | 6.28 | 4.26 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 08:42:40 | 6.07 | 4.27 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 09:02:49 | 6.23 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 09:02:50 | 6.13 | 4.28 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 09:22:57 | 6.23 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 09:22:58 | 6.08 | 4.29 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 09:32:47 | 5.78 | 4.17 | 1.55 |
| 2026-08-31 09:32:48 | 6.24 | 4.29 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 09:42:49 | 6.23 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 09:42:50 | 6.13 | 4.28 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 09:53:03 | 6.23 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 09:53:04 | 6.13 | 4.28 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 10:03:00 | 6.23 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 10:03:01 | 6.16 | 4.24 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 10:03:02 | 6.03 | 4.40 | 1.55 |
| 2026-08-31 16:12:47 | 6.28 | 4.26 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 16:23:48 | 6.13 | 4.17 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 16:23:49 | 6.31 | 4.28 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 16:33:36 | 6.38 | 4.26 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 16:33:37 | 6.13 | 4.27 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 16:42:33 | 6.28 | 4.26 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 16:53:11 | 6.00 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 16:53:12 | 6.30 | 4.29 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 17:02:54 | 6.39 | 4.26 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 17:02:55 | 6.19 | 4.26 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 17:13:00 | 6.41 | 4.25 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 17:13:01 | 6.14 | 4.28 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 17:23:18 | 6.13 | 4.17 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 17:23:19 | 6.31 | 4.28 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 17:32:52 | 6.28 | 4.24 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 17:32:53 | 6.20 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 17:42:43 | 6.13 | 4.17 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 17:42:44 | 6.31 | 4.28 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 17:53:16 | 6.32 | 4.23 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 17:53:17 | 6.05 | 4.43 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 18:02:53 | 6.23 | 4.24 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 18:02:54 | 6.29 | 4.27 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 18:23:05 | 6.27 | 4.20 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 18:23:06 | 6.29 | 4.39 | 1.56 |
| 2026-08-31 18:42:45 | 6.28 | 4.26 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 19:03:01 | 6.28 | 4.26 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 19:03:03 | 6.43 | 4.26 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 19:03:04 | 6.44 | 4.34 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 19:23:37 | 6.00 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 19:23:38 | 6.43 | 4.27 | 1.50 |
| 2026-08-31 19:23:39 | 6.56 | 4.47 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 19:42:48 | 6.44 | 4.31 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 20:03:01 | 6.45 | 4.27 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 20:03:02 | 6.35 | 4.53 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 20:23:13 | 6.44 | 4.27 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 20:23:14 | 6.43 | 4.34 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 20:43:03 | 6.43 | 4.26 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 20:43:04 | 6.44 | 4.34 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 21:02:57 | 6.42 | 4.26 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 21:02:58 | 6.50 | 4.47 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 21:23:17 | 6.45 | 4.27 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 21:23:18 | 6.35 | 4.53 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 21:42:47 | 6.45 | 4.26 | 1.51 |
| 2026-08-31 21:42:48 | 6.42 | 4.36 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 22:03:18 | 6.27 | 4.34 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 22:03:19 | 6.30 | 4.43 | 1.54 |
| 2026-08-31 22:23:17 | 6.00 | 4.27 | 1.52 |
| 2026-08-31 22:23:18 | 6.34 | 4.38 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 22:42:50 | 6.28 | 4.36 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 23:03:23 | 6.32 | 4.34 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 23:03:24 | 6.10 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 23:23:08 | 6.28 | 4.36 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 23:42:39 | 6.18 | 4.31 | 1.53 |
| 2026-08-31 23:42:40 | 6.33 | 4.39 | 1.53 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.01 | Aston Villa | 0 : 1 | Arsenal |
| 2025.12.31 | Arsenal | 4 : 1 | Aston Villa |
| 2025.12.06 | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 | Arsenal |
| 2025.01.19 | Arsenal | 2 : 2 | Aston Villa |
| 2024.08.25 | Aston Villa | 0 : 2 | Arsenal |