Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe
Okapi AalstHOME · -
72 : 812024.04.21 · 종료
MechelenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADES
Okapi AalstAnalysis MetricsMechelen
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.33
172.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.83
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okapi Aalst
L · 75-71W · 70-73W · 103-74W · 87-70L · 71-63
Mechelen
W · 94-67W · 90-76W · 86-87W · 55-91L · 74-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.11 | Mechelen | 79 : 94 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2026.05.17 | Mechelen | 85 : 90 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2026.05.16 | Okapi Aalst | 93 : 84 | Mechelen |
| 2024.04.21 | Okapi Aalst | 72 : 81 | Mechelen |
| 2024.01.13 | Okapi Aalst | 82 : 80 | Mechelen |
| 2023.10.08 | Mechelen | 91 : 84 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2023.01.15 | Mechelen | 90 : 98 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2022.12.04 | Okapi Aalst | 77 : 81 | Mechelen |
| 2021.10.10 | Mechelen | 71 : 77 | Okapi Aalst |