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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe
Belfius MonsHOME · -
83 : 772024.03.28 · 종료
Den HelderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADES
Belfius MonsAnalysis MetricsDen Helder
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-9.33 Point MarginHigher is better -16.17
161.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.67
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Belfius Mons
W · 78-72L · 76-88L · 84-90L · 85-69W · 72-80
Den Helder
L · 69-81L · 98-79L · 87-61W · 82-73W · 77-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.12Den Helder66 : 78Belfius Mons
2024.03.28Belfius Mons83 : 77Den Helder
2023.05.06Belfius Mons78 : 83Den Helder
2023.05.03Den Helder82 : 98Belfius Mons
2023.04.02Den Helder69 : 89Belfius Mons
2023.03.05Belfius Mons88 : 64Den Helder