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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BNXT League Europe
LeidenHOME · -
70 : 452024.03.03 · 종료
Spirou CharleroiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.0%
VALUE EDGE+57.0%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
LeidenAnalysis MetricsSpirou Charleroi
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better +7.08
152.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.08
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
L · 101-82W · 86-60L · 78-57W · 81-77W · 72-64
Spirou Charleroi
W · 75-68W · 84-90W · 82-78W · 83-92W · 74-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.04Spirou Charleroi65 : 71Leiden
2024.03.03Leiden70 : 45Spirou Charleroi
2023.06.08Leiden71 : 58Spirou Charleroi
2023.06.06Spirou Charleroi67 : 86Leiden
2023.04.02Leiden86 : 66Spirou Charleroi