Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BNXT League
Europe

LeidenHOME · -
70 : 452024.03.03 · 종료
Spirou CharleroiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.0%
VALUE EDGE+57.0%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
LeidenAnalysis MetricsSpirou Charleroi
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.08
152.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.08
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
L · 101-82W · 86-60L · 78-57W · 81-77W · 72-64
Spirou Charleroi
W · 75-68W · 84-90W · 82-78W · 83-92W · 74-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.04 | Spirou Charleroi | 65 : 71 | Leiden |
| 2024.03.03 | Leiden | 70 : 45 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2023.06.08 | Leiden | 71 : 58 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2023.06.06 | Spirou Charleroi | 67 : 86 | Leiden |
| 2023.04.02 | Leiden | 86 : 66 | Spirou Charleroi |